WNBA USA

03.07.2026 02:00 UTC

Finished

WNBA

Phoenix Mercury - Seattle Storm

USA Basketball

Phoenix Mercury

- : -

Finished

Seattle Storm

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Phoenix Mercury (odds1.77) Score 82:78 confidence 60%

• Phoenix Mercury: forma VPVPP (2-3)
• Seattle Storm: forma VPPPP (1-4)
• ochnye 2-0 (za 2)
• Model backs Phoenix Mercury: probability 60%.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Phoenix Mercury - Seattle Storm July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Phoenix Mercury

#7GP 207-13

Seattle Storm

#8GP 205-15

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

34Wins43

44.2%Win %55.8%

79.1Points per game80.5

81.4Offensive rating96.2

82.8Defensive rating94.6

-1.4Point differential1.4

59.5Assists59.2

111.8Rebounds115.1

30.5%3-pointers, %35.9%

Team form

Phoenix Mercury

Overall WWLWL Net -5.7

Home WL Net -11.5

Away WWLL Net -1.8

Seattle Storm

Overall WWLLL Net -10.2

Home WWLL Net +2.6

Away LL Net -25.8

Team stats

Phoenix Mercury Overall · Home/Away Seattle Storm

35.0%H 25.0% · A 41.7%Win %25.0%H 36.4% · A 11.1%

-5.7H -11.5 · A -1.8Point differential-10.2H 2.6 · A -25.8

84.0H 87.6 · A 81.5Points per game81.1H 84.8 · A 76.6

86.8H 93.4 · A 82.4Conceded86.2H 83.6 · A 89.4

43.1%H 42.6% · A 43.4%FG, %42.2%H 44.3% · A 39.7%

50.0H 62.5 · A 41.71st half35.0H 45.5 · A 22.2

81.2H 83.1 · A 79.9Pace81.5H 81.2 · A 81.9

103.4H 100.1 · A 105.6Offensive rating99.5H 99.7 · A 99.1

106.9H 103.5 · A 109.2Defensive rating105.7H 106.0 · A 105.4

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Phoenix Mercury Total (over) Seattle Storm

84.0 Points per game 81.1

55.0%

O 79.5

45.0%

50.0%

O 80.5

40.0%

45.0%

O 81.5

40.0%

45.0%

O 82.5srednee

40.0%

45.0%

O 83.5

35.0%

40.0%

O 84.5

35.0%

40.0%

O 85.5

35.0%

40.0%

O 86.5

35.0%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Phoenix Mercury Total (over) Seattle Storm

5.0%

O 102.5

10.0%

5.0%

O 103.5

10.0%

5.0%

O 104.5

10.0%

5.0%

O 105.5

5.0%

O 106.5

5.0%

O 107.5

5.0%

O 108.5

5.0%

O 109.5

5.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Phoenix Mercury 42.6 / Seattle Storm 40.7

Phoenix Mercury Total (over) Seattle Storm

65.0%

O 40.5

65.0%

60.0%

O 41.5srednee

50.0%

55.0%

O 42.5

45.0%

O 43.5

35.0%

2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Phoenix Mercury 41.2 / Seattle Storm —

Phoenix Mercury Total (over) Seattle Storm

50.0%

O 40.5

40.0%

50.0%

O 41.5srednee

35.0%

50.0%

O 42.5

35.0%

45.0%

O 43.5

30.0%

Lineups and availability

Injuries and lineups

Phoenix Mercury

Noemie Brochant FOut
Brochant (ankle) is listed as out for Thursday's game against Seattle.
Natasha Mack FOut
out
Jovana Nogic GOut
Nogic (not injury related) intends to play professionally in Russia and won't return to Phoenix this season, Aya Abdeen of TheIXSports.com reports.
Sami Whitcomb G • SurgeryOut
Whitcomb will undergo an arthroscopy on Thursday to remove a loose body in her left knee. She will be re-evaluated in four to six weeks, Shane Young of the Mercury's official site reports.

Seattle Storm

Taina Mair GOut
Mair (coach's decision) is listed as out for Thursday's game against the Mercury.
Ezi Magbegor F • Not SpecifiedOut
Magbegor (foot) is listed as probable for Thursday's game against the Mercury.

Injury and player availability data: ESPN. For reference.

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Match center

Start 03.07.2026 02:00 UTC

Match center