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WNBA
WNBA USA
18.06.2026 02:00 UTC
18.06.2026 02:00 UTC
Not started

WNBA

USA

Portland Fire - Seattle Storm

USA Basketball
Portland Fire
Portland Fire
- : -
Not started
Seattle Storm
Seattle Storm

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portland Fire - Seattle Storm June 18, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Portland Fire. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / 2 2.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.9%
1 67.4%
2 32.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Portland Fire
#6GP 157-8
Seattle Storm
#8GP 205-15

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

0Wins1
0.0%Win %100.0%
81.0Points per game91.0
81.0Offensive rating102.9
91.0Defensive rating91.6
-10.0Point differential10.0
48.0Assists48.0
96.0Rebounds129.0
26.0%3-pointers, %29.0%

Team form

Portland Fire
Overall LLLWL Net -20.0
Home LWL Net -20.0
Away LLW Net -20.0
Seattle Storm
Overall LLLLL Net +8.0
Home LL Net +20.0
Away LLLL Net -4.0

Team stats

Portland Fire Overall · Home/Away Seattle Storm
0.0%H 0.0% · A 0.0%Win %50.0%H 100.0% · A 0.0%
-20.0H -20.0 · A -20.0Point differential8.0H 20.0 · A -4.0
78.0H 75.0 · A 81.0Points per game83.5H 91.0 · A 76.0
88.0H 85.0 · A 91.0Conceded79.5H 81.0 · A 78.0
42.5%H 44.0% · A 41.0%FG, %36.5%H 34.0% · A 39.0%
0.0H 0.0 · A 0.01st half—
87.0H 86.6 · A 87.3Pace81.5H 87.3 · A 75.7
92.2H 91.6 · A 92.8Offensive rating99.5H 92.3 · A 107.8
104.0H 103.3 · A 104.7Defensive rating94.7H 87.9 · A 102.7

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Portland Fire Total (over) Seattle Storm
78.0 Points per game 83.5
50.0%
O 77.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 78.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 79.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 80.5srednee
50.0%
0.0%
O 81.5
50.0%
0.0%
O 82.5
50.0%
0.0%
O 83.5
50.0%
0.0%
O 84.5
50.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Portland Fire — / Seattle Storm 43.5

Portland Fire Total (over) Seattle Storm
50.0%
O 40.5
100.0%
50.0%
O 41.5
100.0%
0.0%
O 42.5
50.0%
0.0%
O 43.5srednee
50.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Portland Fire 41.0 / Seattle Storm 40.0

Portland Fire Total (over) Seattle Storm
50.0%
O 40.5srednee
50.0%
50.0%
O 41.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 42.5
50.0%
0.0%
O 43.5
50.0%

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Match center
Start 18.06.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Portland Fire - Seattle Storm

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 155.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 156.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.60 62.5%
2.40 41.7%
2.65 37.7%
1.87 53.5%
1.82 55.0%
2.45 40.8%
1.33 75.2%
1.53 65.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.45 69.0%
1.25 80.0%
1.35 74.1%
1.27 78.7%
1.50 66.7%
1.43 69.9%
1.47 68.0%
1.40 71.4%
1.43 69.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 155.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 156.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 157.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 158.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 159.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 160.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 161.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 162.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 163.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 164.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 165.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 166.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 167.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 168.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 169.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 170.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 171.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 172.5 1.25 80.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
2.90 34.5%