Match center
Start
24.06.2026 15:30 UTC
24.06.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished
European Championship. U20. Slovenia. For 9th-16th places
Italy - Croatia
100
:
85
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Italy - Croatia June 24, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Italy. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
91.6%
2
8.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Italy
3-0WWW
points for 88.3points against 60.0
Croatia
2-3WWLLL
points for 79.3points against 70.5
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Match center
Italy - Croatia
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 101.5
2.05
Fonbet · line only
Over 103.5
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.47 68.0% | |
| 1.58 63.3% | |
| 1.72 58.1% | |
| 1.87 53.5% | |
| 2.07 48.3% | |
| 2.40 41.7% | |
| 1.52 65.8% | |
| 1.43 69.9% | |
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | |
| 2.13 47.0% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 1.87 53.5% | |
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.87 53.5% | |
| 1.65 60.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 101.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| Over 103.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 155.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 156.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 157.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| Over 158.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 159.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Over 160.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 161.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Over 162.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Over 163.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 164.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| Over 165.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 166.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 167.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| Over 168.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 169.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 170.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 11.00 9.1% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyItaly - Croatia
Italy
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals