Match center
Start
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Spain U20 - Croatia U20
94
:
59
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🔒 «Formula lock»
1Spain U20 — 65%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
💎 «Value»
2Croatia U20 — odds 4.30 · edge +12.0% · 2 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Spain U20 - Croatia U20 July 4, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Spain U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 9.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 10.1%
1
89.9%
2
10.1%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Spain U20
4-6LLLLLWWWWL
points for 70.7points against 81.8
Croatia U20
8-2WWWWWWWLLW
points for 80.5points against 67.0
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Spain U20
Well rested- Rest days: 8
- Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
Croatia U20
No recent matches
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Match center
Spain U20 - Croatia U20
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.00
Fonbet · line only
1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 116.5
1.85
Fonbet · line only
Over 117.5
1.92
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — | |
| 1.82 55.0% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | — | |
| — | 2.10 47.6% | |
| — | 2.30 43.5% | |
| — | 2.15 46.5% | |
| — | 2.02 49.5% | |
| — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | 2.30 43.5% | |
| — | 2.15 46.5% | |
| — | 2.05 48.8% | |
| — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | 1.75 57.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 116.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 117.5 | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| Over 120.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 121.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 123.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 124.5 | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 125.5 | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| Over 130.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 132.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 135.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 136.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 138.5 | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 154.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Over 155.5 | 1.79 55.9% | — |
| Over 158.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Under 154.5 | 1.82 55.0% | — |
| Under 155.5 | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Under 158.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.17 85.5% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.24 80.7% | |
| 4.30 23.3% | 9.00 11.1% | 3.98 25.1% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historySpain U20 - Croatia U20
Spain U20
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals