World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies

Spain U20 - Lithuania U20

Basketball
Spain U20
Spain U20
79 : 72
Finished
Lithuania U20
Lithuania U20

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Spain U20 - Lithuania U20 July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lithuania U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 10.1%
2 89.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Spain U20
4-6LLLLLWWWWL
points for 70.7points against 81.8
Lithuania U20

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Spain U20
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 2)
Lithuania U20
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Spain U20
153 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 94
  • Concedes: 59
Lithuania U20
157 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 76
  • Concedes: 81

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Spain U20 - Lithuania U20

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 130.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 131.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.79 55.9%
1.88 53.2%
2.45 40.8%
1.67 59.9%
1.52 65.8%
1.40 71.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.48 67.6%
1.65 60.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.30 76.9%
1.90 52.6%
2.30 43.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.40 71.4%
2.25 44.4%
2.02 49.5%
2.02 49.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 130.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 131.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 132.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 133.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 134.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 135.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 136.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 137.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 138.5 1.80 55.6% 1.50 66.7%
Over 139.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 140.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 141.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 142.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 143.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 144.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 145.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 138.5 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
1.16 86.2% 9.00 11.1% 1.26 79.4%
4.40 22.7% 1.01 99.0% 3.78 26.5%
Match center
Spain U20
W
04.07 16:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Spain U20 94:59 Croatia U20Croatia U20
1 Wins
0 Losses
94.0 Scored
59.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Lithuania U20
L
04.07 13:30 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Lithuania U20 76:81 France U20France U20
0 Wins
1 Losses
76.0 Scored
81.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySpain U20 - Lithuania U20

Spain U20
0 matches total
Lithuania U20
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history