WC 2026. Final
WC 2026. Final
14.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

WC 2026. Final

Arkhentino de Kilmes - Arsenal Sarandi

Futbol
Arkhentino de Kilmes
Arkhentino de Kilmes
1 : 0
Finished
Arsenal Sarandi
Arsenal Sarandi

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arkhentino de Kilmes - Arsenal Sarandi 14 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal Sarandi.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal Sarandi. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.21 / X 2.96 / 2 1.88
  • 1X2 market: Arkhentino de Kilmes 21.5% / X 30.5% / Arsenal Sarandi 48.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7%
1 21.5%
X 30.5%
2 48.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B Metropolitana
League table
Arkhentino de Kilmes
#1426 ptsGP 216-8-723:21
WLLDW
Arsenal Sarandi
#240 ptsGP 2111-7-331:16
LWWDW
Best price across 13 books
1 5.45 1xBet
X 3.25 Betfair
2 1.89 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Arkhentino de Kilmes
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.21 xG 0.98 xGA 1.00
Arsenal Sarandi
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.41 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.26 xGA 0.81

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Arkhentino de Kilmes
Rating 1480 xG 0.92 Win 26%
Arsenal Sarandi
Rating 1626 xG 1.31 Win 46%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Arkhentino de Kilmes 1 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
15.45
X3.14
21.67

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 14.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Arkhentino de Kilmes - Arsenal Sarandi

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.86 market consensus · line only
X 3.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 5.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.37 market consensus · line only
2 0 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.52 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.50 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 4.40 22.7% 4.30 23.3% 4.50 22.2% 4.30 23.3% 4.40 22.7% 3.90 25.6%
Х 2.95 33.9% 2.96 33.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 2.70 37.0%
П2 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.40 71.4% 1.53 65.4%
yes 2.75 36.4% 2.34 42.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.94 51.6% 1.97 50.8% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 5.50 18.2%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 5.75 17.4%
0_1 4.33 23.1%
0_2 6.50 15.4%
0_3 13.00 7.7%
0_4 34.00 2.9%
0_5 81.00 1.2%
1_0 7.50 13.3%
1_1 5.25 19.1%
1_2 7.50 13.3%
1_3 15.00 6.7%
1_4 34.00 2.9%
1_5 91.00 1.1%
2_0 17.00 5.9%
2_1 13.00 7.7%
2_2 17.00 5.9%
2_3 34.00 2.9%
2_4 76.00 1.3%
3_0 56.00 1.8%
Match center
Arkhentino de Kilmes
L L W W
10.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Arkhentino de Kilmes 0:3 Arkhentino de MerloArkhentino de Merlo
05.07 14:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Arkhentino de Kilmes 0:3 Taleres EskaladaTaleres Eskalada
06.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Arkhentino de Kilmes 1:0 FlandriyaFlandriya
01.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Arkhentino de Kilmes 2:0 ItusaingoItusaingo
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.5 Conceded
6 Points
Arsenal Sarandi
W W L
04.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Arsenal Sarandi 2:1 KomunikasonesKomunikasones
13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Arsenal Sarandi 2:1 Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros
31.05 20:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Arsenal Sarandi 0:2 San-Martin BursakoSan-Martin Bursako
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points