WC 2026. Final
WC 2026. Final
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

WC 2026. Final

Dokk Sud - Excursionistas

Futbol
Dokk Sud
Dokk Sud
3 : 1
Finished
Excursionistas
Excursionistas

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dokk Sud - Excursionistas 4 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Excursionistas.

Line favourite market consensus: Excursionistas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.60 / X 2.89 / 2 2.06
  • 1X2 market: Dokk Sud 25.0% / X 31.2% / Excursionistas 43.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.9%
1 25.0%
X 31.2%
2 43.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B Metropolitana
League table
Dokk Sud
#1623 ptsGP 215-8-821:21
WDLDL
Excursionistas
#142 ptsGP 2112-6-328:12
LWDWW
Best price across 11 books
1 3.85 Dafabet
X 3.00 Betfair
2 2.11 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Dokk Sud
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.00 Conceded 0.80 xG 0.96 xGA 1.03
Excursionistas
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 1.81 Conceded 0.50 xG 1.23 xGA 0.85

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Dokk Sud
Rating 1474
Excursionistas
Rating 1630

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Form and head-to-head • Primera B Metropolitana

Team stats

Dokk Sud
WWDDWLLDLD
W 3 • D 4 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1 : 0.8
16 place, 24 pts
Excursionistas
LDWWDWWWDW
W 6 • D 3 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:1.8 : 0.5
1 place, 45 pts
Head-to-head: 14 — Dokk Sud 5, draws 5, Excursionistas 4 (goals 15:13)
  • Excursionistas — Sportivo Dock Sud2026-02-20 1:0
  • Sportivo Dock Sud — Excursionistas2025-08-29 1:0
  • Excursionistas — Sportivo Dock Sud2025-04-12 1:1
  • Sportivo Dock Sud — Excursionistas2024-07-27 2:2
  • Excursionistas — Sportivo Dock Sud2024-03-08 2:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Dokk Sud
No recent matches
Excursionistas
Well rested
  • Rest days: 7
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Dokk Sud - Excursionistas

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.05 market consensus · line only
X 2.90 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.71 market consensus · line only
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.41 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 3.55 28.2% 3.72 26.9% 3.75 26.7% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.20 31.3%
Х 2.95 33.9% 2.86 35.0% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.70 37.0%
П2 2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 1.93 51.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.20 83.3% 1.64 61.0%
yes 3.80 26.3% 2.13 47.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.32 75.8% 1.34 74.6%
1x 1.69 59.2% 1.72 58.1%
x2 1.19 84.0% 1.20 83.3% 12.00 8.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 4.86 20.6%
Х 1.83 54.6%
П2 2.79 35.8%
Match center
Dokk Sud
D
13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Dokk Sud 1:1 Taleres EskaladaTaleres Eskalada
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Excursionistas
W W W
13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Excursionistas 1:0 Sportivo ItalyanoSportivo Italyano
06.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Excursionistas 2:0 San-Martin BursakoSan-Martin Bursako
31.05 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Excursionistas 2:0 Vilya San-KarlosVilya San-Karlos
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
0.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDokk Sud - Excursionistas

Dokk Sud
0 matches total
Excursionistas
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history