WC 2026. Final
WC 2026. Final
14.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

WC 2026. Final

Ituzaingo - San Martin Burzaco

Futbol
Ituzaingo
Ituzaingo
1 : 2
Finished
San Martin Burzaco
San Martin Burzaco

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ituzaingo - San Martin Burzaco 14 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like San Martin Burzaco.

Line favourite market consensus: San Martin Burzaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.27 / X 2.84 / 2 2.20
  • 1X2 market: Ituzaingo 27.5% / X 31.7% / San Martin Burzaco 40.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.2%
1 27.5%
X 31.7%
2 40.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B Metropolitana
League table
Ituzaingo
#229 ptsGP 211-6-1415:36
DLLDL
San Martin Burzaco
#1029 ptsGP 217-8-622:19
DDDDL
Best price across 13 books
1 3.50 Dafabet
X 2.95 10Bet
2 2.43 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Ituzaingo
W-D-L 1-3-6 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.60 xG 0.84 xGA 1.23
San Martin Burzaco
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 0.60 Conceded 0.80 xG 0.85 xGA 1.09

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Ituzaingo
Rating 1340 xG 0.97 Win 30%
San Martin Burzaco
Rating 1517 xG 1.16 Win 40%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Ituzaingo 1 : 1 San Martin Burzaco
13.40
X2.88
22.19

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:7/7 ready

Google AI updated13.07.2026 20:58 UTC
1 30%
X 40% ✓ favourite
2 30%
Score0:0 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:X2 и ТМ 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-3
DeepSeek updated13.07.2026 20:59 UTC
1 20%
X 35%
2 45% ✓ favourite
Score0:1 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:Двойной шанс X2
ChatGPT updated13.07.2026 21:03 UTC
1 24%
X 39% ✓ favourite
2 37%
Score0:0 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:ТМ 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-3
Claude updated13.07.2026 21:08 UTC
1 30%
X 34%
2 36% ✓ favourite
Score0:1 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:Двойной шанс X2 (ничья или победа гостей)
Qwen updated13.07.2026 21:02 UTC
1 28%
X 40% ✓ favourite
2 32%
Score0:1 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:Х2 и ТМ 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-3
Kimi updated13.07.2026 21:12 UTC
1 28%
X 35%
2 37% ✓ favourite
Score1:1 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:Х (Ничья)
Per AI data H2H: 3-0
GLM 5.2 updated13.07.2026 21:13 UTC
1 25%
X 35%
2 40% ✓ favourite
Score0:1 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:X2
Per AI data H2H: 0-3

AI consensus:2

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 30% 40% 30% 0:0 ТМ 2.5 Нет X2 и ТМ 2.5
DeepSeek 20% 35% 45% 0:1 ТМ 2.5 Нет Двойной шанс X2
ChatGPT 24% 39% 37% 0:0 ТМ 2.5 Нет ТМ 2.5
Claude 30% 34% 36% 0:1 ТМ 2.5 Нет Двойной шанс X2 (ничья или победа гостей)
Qwen 28% 40% 32% 0:1 ТМ 2.5 Нет Х2 и ТМ 2.5
Kimi 28% 35% 37% 1:1 ТМ 2.5 Нет Х (Ничья)
GLM 5.2 25% 35% 40% 0:1 ТМ 2.5 Нет X2

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Match center
Start 14.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Ituzaingo - San Martin Burzaco

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.10 Fonbet · line only
X 1.27 Fonbet · line only
1 5.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.50 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.75 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.10 32.3%
Х 2.95 33.9% 2.86 35.0% 2.88 34.7% 2.92 34.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.60 38.5%
П2 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.05 48.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.35 74.1% 1.59 62.9%
yes 2.90 34.5% 2.21 45.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 3.25 30.8%
1x 1.52 65.8% 1.55 64.5% 5.50 18.2%
x2 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5% 1.13 88.5%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 6.00 16.7%
0_1 4.75 21.1%
0_2 7.50 13.3%
0_3 17.00 5.9%
0_4 46.00 2.2%
1_0 6.00 16.7%
1_1 5.25 19.1%
1_2 8.00 12.5%
1_3 19.00 5.3%
1_4 51.00 2.0%
2_0 13.00 7.7%
2_1 10.00 10.0%
2_2 17.00 5.9%
2_3 34.00 2.9%
2_4 81.00 1.2%
3_0 34.00 2.9%
3_1 31.00 3.2%
3_2 46.00 2.2%
Match center
Ituzaingo
D L L W L
10.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Ituzaingo 0:0 Braun AdrogeBraun Adroge
04.07 15:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Ituzaingo 1:3 Vilya San-KarlosVilya San-Karlos
13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Ituzaingo 2:3 FlandriyaFlandriya
05.06 19:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Ituzaingo 2:0 Real PilarReal Pilar
01.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Ituzaingo 0:2 Arkhentino de KilmesArkhentino de Kilmes
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
San Martin Burzaco
D L L W
05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
San Martin Burzaco 1:1 LiniersLiniers
12.06 21:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
San Martin Burzaco 0:2 Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine
06.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
San Martin Burzaco 0:2 EkskursionistasEkskursionistas
31.05 20:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
San Martin Burzaco 2:0 Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.3 Conceded
4 Points