WC 2026. Final
WC 2026. Final
10.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

WC 2026. Final

Liniers - Sportivo Italiano

Futbol
Liniers
Liniers
0 : 1
Finished
Sportivo Italiano
Sportivo Italiano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liniers - Sportivo Italiano 10 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sportivo Italiano.

Line favourite market consensus: Sportivo Italiano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.90 / X 2.67 / 2 2.55
  • 1X2 market: Liniers 31.0% / X 33.6% / Sportivo Italiano 35.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.2%
1 31.0%
X 33.7%
2 35.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B Metropolitana
League table
Liniers
#1524 ptsGP 216-6-914:21
DDDLL
Sportivo Italiano
#633 ptsGP 219-6-622:19
DDLLW
Best price across 12 books
1 3.10 Dafabet
X 2.76 Marathonbet
2 2.65 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Liniers
W-D-L 2-5-3 Scored 0.70 Conceded 1.00 xG 0.90 xGA 1.02
Sportivo Italiano
W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 0.80 Conceded 1.00 xG 0.94 xGA 0.95

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Liniers
Rating 1461 xG 0.98 Win 31%
Sportivo Italiano
Rating 1531 xG 1.13 Win 39%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Liniers 0 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
12.85
X2.76
22.52

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Liniers - Sportivo Italiano

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X 4.80 Fonbet · line only
1 2.91 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.70 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.53 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.34 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 2.88 34.7% 2.85 35.1% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.63 38.0%
Х 2.75 36.4% 2.76 36.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.50 40.0%
П2 2.60 38.5% 2.52 39.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.57 38.9% 2.55 39.2% 2.38 42.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.53 65.4%
yes 2.34 42.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.39 71.9% 1.41 70.9% 5.70 17.5%
x2 1.32 75.8% 1.34 74.6% 1.01 99.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 5.25 19.1%
0_1 5.00 20.0%
0_2 9.50 10.5%
0_3 26.00 3.9%
0_4 71.00 1.4%
1_0 5.25 19.1%
1_1 5.00 20.0%
1_2 9.00 11.1%
1_3 23.00 4.4%
1_4 67.00 1.5%
2_0 11.00 9.1%
2_1 9.50 10.5%
2_2 17.00 5.9%
2_3 41.00 2.4%
2_4 101.00 1.0%
3_0 29.00 3.5%
3_1 26.00 3.9%
3_2 46.00 2.2%
Match center
Liniers
D L L W
05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Liniers 1:1 San-Martin BursakoSan-Martin Bursako
14.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Liniers 0:1 Real PilarReal Pilar
08.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Liniers 1:2 UAI UrkisaUAI Urkisa
31.05 13:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Liniers 1:0 Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Sportivo Italiano
D L
05.07 14:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Sportivo Italiano 1:1 Real PilarReal Pilar
13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Sportivo Italiano 0:1 EkskursionistasEkskursionistas
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points