Match center
Start
14.07.2026 19:00 MSK
14.07.2026 19:00 MSK
Finished
WC 2026. Final
Sportivo Italiano - Villa San Carlos
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sportivo Italiano - Villa San Carlos 14 июля 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sportivo Italiano.
Line favourite market consensus: Sportivo Italiano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.79 / X 2.99 / 2 4.65
- 1X2 market: Sportivo Italiano 50.4% / X 30.2% / Villa San Carlos 19.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.8%
1
50.4%
X
30.2%
2
19.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera B MetropolitanaLeague table
Sportivo Italiano
WWDDL
Villa San Carlos
LDWDD
Best price
across 13 books
1
1.83
Unibet
X
3.15
Dafabet
2
5.45
1xBet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Sportivo Italiano
W-D-L 3-3-4
Scored 0.90
Conceded 1.00
xG 0.94
xGA 0.95
Villa San Carlos
W-D-L 1-7-2
Scored 0.70
Conceded 1.00
xG 0.87
xGA 1.19
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Sportivo Italiano
Rating 1540
xG 1.25
Win 45%
Villa San Carlos
Rating 1452
xG 0.86
Win 26%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Sportivo Italiano
1
:
1
Villa San Carlos
11.69
X3.10
25.45
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Sportivo Italiano - Villa San Carlos
Form
3/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.77
market consensus · line only
X
6.50
Fonbet · line only
1
1.04
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.05
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.12
Fonbet · line only
X2
6.50
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.70
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.52
market consensus · line only
2 0
3.00
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
2.36
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.45
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.48
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.51
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.39
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.67 59.9% |
| Х | 3.10 32.3% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.80 35.7% |
| П2 | 4.50 22.2% | 5.11 19.6% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.10 24.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.51 66.2% |
| yes | 2.39 41.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.05 95.2% |
| 1x | 1.08 92.6% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 1.99 50.3% | 2.03 49.3% | 6.50 15.4% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 0_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 0_2 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 0_3 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 1_0 | 4.20 23.8% |
| 1_1 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 1_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 2_3 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 3_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 3_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_2 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 3_3 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 4_0 | 31.00 3.2% |
Match center
Sportivo Italiano
W
D
L
Sportivo Italiano
1:0
Liniers
Liniers
Sportivo Italiano
1:1
Real Pilar
Real Pilar
Sportivo Italiano
0:1
Ekskursionistas
Ekskursionistas
1
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
0.7
Scored
0.7
Conceded
4
Points
Villa San Carlos
W
L
Villa San Carlos
3:1
Itusaingo
Itusaingo
Villa San Carlos
0:2
Ekskursionistas
Ekskursionistas
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySportivo Italiano - Villa San Carlos
Sportivo Italiano
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals