Match center
Start
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Argentina. Primera Nacional
Alvarado - Kherminal
5
:
0
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 «Confident pick»
1Alvarado — 67%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Alvarado - Kherminal 5 июля 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Alvarado. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / X 4.05 / 2 12.10
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.6%
1
69.4%
X
23.0%
2
7.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Federal A
Team stats
Alvarado
WDLWWDWDWL
W 5 • D 3 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 0.5
2 place, 23 pts
Kherminal
WDWLDWLDDW
W 4 • D 4 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:0.5 : 0.3
4 place, 18 pts
Head-to-head: 1 — Alvarado 0, draws 0, Kherminal 1 (goals 0:1)
- Germinal — Alvarado2026-05-03 1:0
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Alvarado - Kherminal
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
3.83
market consensus · line only
1
1.32
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.24
market consensus · line only
X2
3.00
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1
2.15
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.64
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.23
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.58
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.17
Fonbet · line only
Yes
4.15
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.17 85.5% | 1.36 73.5% |
| yes | 4.15 24.1% | 2.90 34.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% |
| x2 | 3.00 33.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.89 52.9% |
| Х | 2.04 49.0% |
| П2 | 11.20 8.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 0.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 1 | 2.17 46.1% |
| ТМ 0.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| ТМ 1 | 1.61 62.1% |
Match center
Alvarado
W
Alvarado
2:0
Sol-de-Mayo
Sol-de-Mayo
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Kherminal
D
Kherminal
0:0
Villa Mitre
Villa Mitre
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
0.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAlvarado - Kherminal
Alvarado
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals