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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
05.07.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Patronato Parana - San Martin Tucuman

Futbol
Patronato Parana
Patronato Parana
0 : 1
Finished
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin Tucuman

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Patronato Parana - San Martin Tucuman July 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Patronato Parana.

Line favourite market consensus: Patronato Parana. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.42 / X 2.74 / 2 3.21
  • 1X2 market: Patronato Parana 37.9% / X 33.5% / San Martin Tucuman 28.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 37.9%
X 33.5%
2 28.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Primera Nacional

Team stats

Patronato Parana
DDWDWLDDDD
W 2 • D 7 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:0.8 : 0.6
15 place, 21 pts
San Martin Tucuman
LWDWLLLDLD
W 2 • D 3 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:0.6 : 1.1
12 place, 23 pts
Head-to-head: 11 — Patronato Parana 3, draws 2, San Martin Tucuman 6 (goals 10:16)
  • San Martin de Tucuman — Patronato2026-02-15 0:0
  • San Martin de Tucuman — Patronato2025-06-28 0:1
  • Patronato — San Martin de Tucuman2025-02-23 0:1
  • Patronato — San Martin de Tucuman2024-10-06 0:1
  • San Martin de Tucuman — Patronato2024-05-21 2:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Patronato Parana - San Martin Tucuman

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.13 Fonbet · line only
X 4.60 Fonbet · line only
1 2.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1X 4.80 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.90 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.03 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.33 42.9% 2.37 42.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.45 40.8%
X 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.88 34.7% 2.72 36.8% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7%
3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.14 87.7% 1.56 64.1%
yes 4.60 21.7% 2.39 41.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.39 71.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.28 78.1% 1.26 79.4% 4.80 20.8%
x2 1.48 67.6% 1.49 67.1% 1.02 98.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.36 29.8%
X 1.82 55.0%
4.29 23.3%
Match center
Patronato Parana
D D D
14.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Patronato Parana 0:0 Atletiko RafaelaAtletiko Rafaela
07.06 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Patronato Parana 1:1 AgropekuarioAgropekuario
31.05 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Patronato Parana 1:1 Tristan SuaresTristan Suares
0 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
0.7 Scored
0.7 Conceded
3 Points
San Martin Tucuman
L L
13.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
San Martin Tucuman 0:2 KolekhialesKolekhiales
31.05 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
San Martin Tucuman 0:2 MidlendMidlend
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points