Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
04.07.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Quilmes - Atlanta

Futbol
Q
Quilmes
2 : 1
Finished
Atlanta
Atlanta

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Quilmes - Atlanta 4 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Quilmes.

Line favourite market consensus: Quilmes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.44 / X 2.77 / 2 3.12
  • 1X2 market: Quilmes 37.5% / X 33.1% / Atlanta 29.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 37.6%
X 33.1%
2 29.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Primera Nacional

Team stats

Quilmes
DLDLLDWDWL
W 2 • D 4 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:0.5 : 0.7
13 place, 21 pts
Atlanta
WWWDWWDWWL
W 7 • D 2 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 0.5
2 place, 33 pts
Head-to-head: 12 — Quilmes 6, draws 2, Atlanta 4 (goals 12:12)
  • Atlanta — Quilmes2026-02-16 1:0
  • Quilmes — Atlanta2025-08-06 2:1
  • Atlanta — Quilmes2025-04-01 2:0
  • Atlanta — Quilmes2023-10-07 0:1
  • Quilmes — Atlanta2023-05-28 1:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 04.07.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Quilmes - Atlanta

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.00 Fonbet · line only
X 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.25 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.09 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 9.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.35 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 5.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 6.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 2.45 40.8% 2.42 41.3% 2.45 40.8% 2.47 40.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8%
Х 2.75 36.4% 2.74 36.5% 2.88 34.7% 2.77 36.1% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7%
П2 3.10 32.3% 3.11 32.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.25 30.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.17 85.5% 1.51 66.2%
yes 4.20 23.8% 2.51 39.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.37 73.0% 1.39 71.9% 1.60 62.5%
1x 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
x2 1.51 66.2% 1.49 67.1% 1.45 69.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 3.29 30.4%
Х 1.82 55.0%
П2 4.38 22.8%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyQuilmes - Atlanta

Quilmes
0 matches total
Atlanta
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history