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Start
08.06.2026 16:00 UTC
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08.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Argentina. Premier League
Defensa i Khustisiya 2 - Ferro 2
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Defensa i Khustisiya 2 - Ferro 2 June 8, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Defensa i Khustisiya 2.
Line favourite market consensus: Defensa i Khustisiya 2. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / X 3.56 / 2 4.15
- 1X2 market: Defensa i Khustisiya 2 53.2% / X 25.2% / Ferro 2 21.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.4%
1
53.1%
X
25.2%
2
21.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Reserve LeagueLeague table
Defensa i Khustisiya 2
LDWWL
Ferro 2
WLWDL
Best price
across 11 books
1
1.75
Betano
X
3.80
Pinnacle
2
4.58
1xBet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Defensa i Khustisiya 2
W-D-L 5-3-2
Scored 2.49
Conceded 1.51
xG 1.23
xGA 1.27
1 -0.10
X +1.68
2 -5.70
1 (DNB) +0.86
Ferro 2
W-D-L 4-2-4
Scored 1.00
Conceded 1.00
xG 0.75
xGA 1.69
1 -1.67
X +0.28
2 -1.67
1 (DNB) -1.20
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Defensa i Khustisiya 2
Rating 1555
Ferro 2
Rating 1467
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Defensa i Khustisiya 2 - Ferro 2
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.15
market consensus · line only
X
6.60
Fonbet · line only
1
1.04
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.07
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
7.60
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
1 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.19
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
4.00
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.73 57.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.60 62.5% | |
| X | 3.50 28.6% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.25 30.8% |
| 3.90 25.6% | 4.38 22.8% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.33 23.1% | 3.75 26.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.07 93.5% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 7.60 13.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 8.00 12.5% | |
| 7.80 12.8% | |
| 10.00 10.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 11.00 9.1% |
Total
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.5 | — | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.28 78.1% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.73 57.8% | 1.68 59.5% |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 3.0 | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 3.25 | — | 2.38 42.0% |
| Over 3.5 | — | 2.62 38.2% |
| Over 3.75 | — | 3.14 31.9% |
| Over 4.0 | — | 4.15 24.1% |
| Over 4.5 | — | 4.80 20.8% |
| Over 5.5 | — | 10.00 10.0% |
| Under 0.5 | — | 10.40 9.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Match center
Defensa i Khustisiya 2
L
Defensa i Khustisiya 2
0:5
Boka Khuniors 2
Boka Khuniors 2
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
5.0
Conceded
0
Points
Ferro 2
W
Ferro 2
4:1
Estudiantes Rio Kuarto 2
Estudiantes Rio Kuarto 2
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
4.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyDefensa i Khustisiya 2 - Ferro 2
Defensa i Khustisiya 2
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Defensa i Khustisiya 2 - Ferro 2 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form