Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
05.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Defensores Belgrano - Atletico Escobar

Futbol
Defensores Belgrano
Defensores Belgrano
1 : 1
Finished
Atletico Escobar
Atletico Escobar
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Defensores Belgrano51%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Defensores Belgrano - Atletico Escobar 5 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Defensores Belgrano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.79 / X 3.17 / 2 4.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 51.6%
X 29.1%
2 19.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Federal A

Team stats

Defensores Belgrano
WLDLLWWLWD
W 4 • D 2 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1 : 0.9
5 place, 22 pts
Atletico Escobar
WWLLDLWWLW
W 5 • D 1 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 1.4
8 place, 17 pts
Head-to-head: 1 — Defensores Belgrano 0, draws 0, Atletico Escobar 1 (goals 2:3)
  • Atlético Escobar — Defensores Belgrano (VR)2026-05-03 3:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Defensores Belgrano - Atletico Escobar

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.73 market consensus · line only
X 3.10 market consensus · line only
1 1.77 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.15 market consensus · line only
X2 1.92 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.60 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.44 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.43 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.54 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.32 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.54 64.9%
yes 2.32 43.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.13 88.5% 1.16 86.2%
x2 1.88 53.2% 1.96 51.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 2.48 40.3%
Х 1.87 53.5%
П2 5.80 17.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 0.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 1 2.30 43.5%
ТМ 0.5 2.24 44.6%
ТМ 1 1.55 64.5%
Match center
Defensores Belgrano
W W
07.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Defensores Belgrano 1:0 Duglas KhaigDuglas Khaig
31.05 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Defensores Belgrano 2:0 El LinquenoEl Linqueno
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points
Atletico Escobar
W W
13.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Atletico Escobar 2:0 9 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela
07.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Atletico Escobar 1:0 El LinquenoEl Linqueno
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points