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Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
11.07.2026 05:00 UTC Match prediction
11.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League

SD Raiders - Blacktown City

Futbol
SD Raiders
SD Raiders
1 : 3
Finished
Blacktown City
Blacktown City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SD Raiders - Blacktown City July 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SD Raiders.

Line favourite market consensus: SD Raiders. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.39 / X 3.37 / 2 2.56
  • 1X2 market: SD Raiders 37.9% / X 26.8% / Blacktown City 35.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.6%
1 37.8%
X 26.8%
2 35.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

New South Wales NPL
League table
SD Raiders
#1126 ptsGP 237-5-1130:39
LLLWL
Blacktown City
#1422 ptsGP 235-7-1130:39
WDLLW
Best price across 13 books
1 2.65 Betano
X 3.61 Pinnacle
2 2.50 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
SD Raiders
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.32 xGA 1.65
Blacktown City
W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.60 xG 1.41 xGA 1.62

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
SD Raiders
Rating 1495
Blacktown City
Rating 1448

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

SD Raiders 1 : 1 Blacktown City
12.45
X3.38
22.44

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Match center

SD Raiders - Blacktown City

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.18 Fonbet · line only
X 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1 2.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.13 Fonbet · line only
1X 4.05 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.09 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 5.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.40 41.7% 2.34 42.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4%
2.55 39.2% 2.56 39.1% 2.55 39.2% 2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.62 61.7% 2.29 43.7%
yes 2.15 46.5% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.13 88.5%
1x 1.43 69.9% 1.45 69.0% 4.05 24.7%
x2 1.46 68.5% 1.49 67.1% 1.01 99.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 10.00 10.0%
0_1 8.50 11.8%
0_2 12.00 8.3%
0_3 23.00 4.4%
0_4 56.00 1.8%
0_5 126.00 0.8%
1_0 8.50 11.8%
1_1 6.00 16.7%
1_2 8.00 12.5%
1_3 15.00 6.7%
1_4 34.00 2.9%
1_5 91.00 1.1%
2_0 11.00 9.1%
2_1 8.00 12.5%
2_2 10.00 10.0%
2_3 19.00 5.3%
2_4 46.00 2.2%
2_5 101.00 1.0%
Match center
SD Raiders
L L W D W
04.07 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
SD Raiders 0:1 Menli YunaytedMenli Yunayted
30.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
SD Raiders 0:1 FK Sidney U23FK Sidney U23
14.06 04:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
SD Raiders 1:0 Rokdeyl IlindenRokdeyl Ilinden
10.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
SD Raiders 1:1 Sidney OlimpikSidney Olimpik
06.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
SD Raiders 2:0 UNSWUNSW
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
7 Points
Blacktown City
D W L
05.07 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Blacktown City 0:0 Sidney YunaytedSidney Yunayted
13.06 05:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Blacktown City 2:1 Sazerland SharksSazerland Sharks
07.06 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Blacktown City 1:2 Rokdeyl IlindenRokdeyl Ilinden
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points