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Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
Australia. Queensland. National Premier League
12.07.2026 04:30 UTC
12.07.2026 04:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. Queensland. National Premier League

Gold Coast Knights - Brisbane City

Futbol
Gold Coast Knights
Gold Coast Knights
- : -
Finished
Brisbane City
Brisbane City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gold Coast Knights - Brisbane City July 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gold Coast Knights.

Line favourite market consensus: Gold Coast Knights. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / X 4.14 / 2 3.73
  • 1X2 market: Gold Coast Knights 54.2% / X 21.7% / Brisbane City 24.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.2%
1 54.2%
X 21.7%
2 24.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Queensland NPL
League table
Gold Coast Knights
#433 ptsGP 1710-3-440:25
DWWLW
Brisbane City
#627 ptsGP 187-6-538:39
DDWLW
Best price across 12 books
1 1.68 Dafabet
X 4.76 Pinnacle
2 4.00 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Gold Coast Knights
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 2.40 Conceded 1.50 xG 2.16 xGA 1.53
Brisbane City
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 2.30 Conceded 2.10 xG 1.96 xGA 1.89

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Gold Coast Knights
Rating 1714
Brisbane City
Rating 1614

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Gold Coast Knights 4 : 2 Brisbane City
11.58
X4.70
23.90

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 04:30 UTC
Match center

Gold Coast Knights - Brisbane City

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
X 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1 4.70 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.30 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.70 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.05 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.10 24.4% 4.25 23.5% 4.40 22.7% 3.70 27.0%
3.85 26.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.08 92.6% 2.63 38.0%
yes 6.00 16.7% 1.43 69.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 3.20 31.3%
1x 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.04 96.2%
x2 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4% 1.16 86.2%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 23.00 4.4%
0_1 21.00 4.8%
0_2 26.00 3.9%
0_3 46.00 2.2%
0_4 91.00 1.1%
1_0 13.00 7.7%
1_1 9.00 11.1%
1_2 12.00 8.3%
1_3 21.00 4.8%
1_4 46.00 2.2%
1_5 126.00 0.8%
2_0 12.00 8.3%
2_1 7.50 13.3%
2_2 10.00 10.0%
2_3 17.00 5.9%
2_4 41.00 2.4%
2_5 91.00 1.1%
3_0 15.00 6.7%
Match center
Gold Coast Knights
W W
04.07 04:15 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Gold Coast Knights 2:1 Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior
05.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Gold Coast Knights 5:2 Olimpik FKOlimpik FK
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
6 Points
Brisbane City
D W L W
05.07 03:45 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Brisbane City 1:1 Brisben Roar U23Brisben Roar U23
13.06 03:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Brisbane City 1:0 Gold Koast YunaytedGold Koast Yunayted
06.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Brisbane City 0:4 Kvinslend LayonsKvinslend Layons
31.05 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Kvinslend Standings
Brisbane City 3:2 Olimpik FKOlimpik FK
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points