Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
11.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League

Manly United - Sutherland Sharks

Futbol
Manly United
Manly United
2 : 1
Finished
Sutherland Sharks
Sutherland Sharks

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manly United - Sutherland Sharks 11 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manly United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manly United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.32 / X 3.47 / 2 2.57
  • 1X2 market: Manly United 38.8% / X 26.0% / Sutherland Sharks 35.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.8%
1 38.9%
X 26.0%
2 35.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

New South Wales NPL
League table
Manly United
#930 ptsGP 238-6-925:29
WWDWD
Sutherland Sharks
#535 ptsGP 2311-2-1036:30
LWWWL
Best price across 13 books
1 2.30 Superbet
X 3.74 Pinnacle
2 2.85 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Manly United
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.32 xGA 1.49
Sutherland Sharks
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.81 Conceded 1.30 xG 1.25 xGA 1.60

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Manly United
Rating 1490
Sutherland Sharks
Rating 1557

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Manly United 1 : 1 Sutherland Sharks
12.18
X3.66
22.70

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Match center

Manly United - Sutherland Sharks

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1X 7.20 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1 0 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.37 42.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7%
Х 3.45 29.0% 3.64 27.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4%
П2 2.55 39.2% 2.48 40.3% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.35 74.1% 2.16 46.3%
yes 2.90 34.5% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 2.55 39.2%
1x 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 7.20 13.9%
x2 1.51 66.2% 1.53 65.4% 1.05 95.2%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 10.00 10.0%
0_1 8.00 12.5%
0_2 11.00 9.1%
0_3 23.00 4.4%
0_4 51.00 2.0%
0_5 126.00 0.8%
1_0 8.00 12.5%
1_1 5.75 17.4%
1_2 8.00 12.5%
1_3 15.00 6.7%
1_4 41.00 2.4%
1_5 101.00 1.0%
2_0 10.00 10.0%
2_1 8.00 12.5%
2_2 11.00 9.1%
2_3 21.00 4.8%
2_4 51.00 2.0%
2_5 126.00 0.8%
Match center
Manly United
W D L
04.07 05:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Manly United 1:0 SD RaidersSD Raiders
12.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Manly United 1:1 Sidney YunaytedSidney Yunayted
06.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Manly United 0:2 APIA LeykhgardtAPIA Leykhgardt
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Sutherland Sharks
W L W
04.07 05:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Sutherland Sharks 3:2 APIA LeykhgardtAPIA Leykhgardt
13.06 05:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Sutherland Sharks 1:2 Blektaun SitiBlektaun Siti
06.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NPL Novyy Yuzhnyy Uels Standings
Sutherland Sharks 2:1 Sen Dzhordzh SeintsSen Dzhordzh Seints
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.7 Conceded
6 Points