New Zealand. National League. Southern League
New Zealand. National League. Southern League
11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

New Zealand. National League. Southern League

Virginia United (w) - Nelson Suburbs

Futbol
Virginia United (w)
Virginia United (w)
3 : 1
Finished
Nelson Suburbs
Nelson Suburbs

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Virginia United (w) - Nelson Suburbs 11 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Virginia United (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.18 / X 1.60 / 2 3.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 74.3%
1 48.6%
X 35.9%
2 15.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Virginia United (w) 2 : 1 Nelson Suburbs
11.92
X3.58
23.32

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Virginia United (w) - Nelson Suburbs

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.70 Fonbet · line only
X 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.12 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.25 Fonbet · line only
X2 4.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.63 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.60 62.5% 2.19 45.7%
yes 2.20 45.5% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 2.12 47.2%
1x 1.62 61.7% 1.72 58.1% 1.25 80.0%
x2 1.21 82.6% 1.27 78.7% 4.05 24.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 3.77 26.5%
Х 2.19 45.7%
П2 2.57 38.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 1 1.67 59.9%
ТМ 1 2.07 48.3%
Match center
Virginia United (w)
W L W D
04.07 05:15 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Virginia United (w) 5:0 Olimpik FK (Zh)Olimpik FK (Zh)
30.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Virginia United (w) 0:2 Gold-Kost Nayts (Zh)Gold-Kost Nayts (Zh)
13.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Virginia United (w) 1:0 Gold Koast Yunayted (Zh)Gold Koast Yunayted (Zh)
06.06 03:45 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Virginia United (w) 1:1 Brisben Siti (Zh)Brisben Siti (Zh)
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Nelson Suburbs
L D W
05.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Nelson Suburbs 0:1 Brisben Siti (Zh)Brisben Siti (Zh)
30.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Nelson Suburbs 0:0 Gold Koast Yunayted (Zh)Gold Koast Yunayted (Zh)
06.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings
Nelson Suburbs 3:0 Capalaba (Zh)Capalaba (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
4 Points