Match center
Start
04.07.2026 02:15 UTC
04.07.2026 02:15 UTC
Finished
Australia: Tasmania Southern Championship Standings
Hobart City - University of Tasmania
5
:
2
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🔒 «Formula lock»
1Hobart City — 74%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hobart City - University of Tasmania July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Hobart City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.23 / X 6.50 / 2 10.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.5%
1
76.3%
X
14.4%
2
9.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Tasmania Southern ChampionshipLeague table
Hobart City
WLLWW
University of Tasmania
DLLLL
Best price
across 5 books
1
1.20
Dafabet
X
6.60
Dafabet
2
11.20
1xBet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Hobart City
W-D-L 5-3-2
Scored 2.40
Conceded 1.80
xG 2.32
xGA 2.15
University of Tasmania
W-D-L 3-1-6
Scored 2.40
Conceded 2.99
xG 1.23
xGA 3.54
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Hobart City
Rating 1626
xG 2.81
Win 74%
University of Tasmania
Rating 1350
xG 1.06
Win 12%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Hobart City - University of Tasmania
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.20
market consensus · line only
X
6.30
market consensus · line only
1
1.21
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.09
market consensus · line only
1X
1.04
market consensus · line only
X2
3.70
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.74
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.40
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.74 36.5% |
| yes | 1.40 71.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.09 91.7% |
| 1x | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 3.70 27.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Х | 3.06 32.7% |
| П2 | 7.70 13.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 1.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| ТБ 2 | 2.09 47.9% |
| ТМ 1.5 | 2.16 46.3% |
| ТМ 2 | 1.66 60.2% |
Match center
Hobart City
W
Hobart City
3:1
Glenorki Nayts U21
Glenorki Nayts U21
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
University of Tasmania
W
University of Tasmania
3:2
Hobart Utd.
Hobart Utd.
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyHobart City - University of Tasmania
Hobart City
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals