LOW
Total goals: Under 3.5
odds 2.95
hist. ROI +2.0%
Under 3.5 (zaschitnyy match)
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13.06.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished
Australia: Viktoriya - Premier League Standings
North Sunshine Eagles - Melbourne Srbija
1
:
2
Finished
M
Melbourne Srbija
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction North Sunshine Eagles - Melbourne Srbija June 13, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like North Sunshine Eagles.
Line favourite market consensus: North Sunshine Eagles. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.81 / 2 3.20
- 1X2 market: North Sunshine Eagles 48.5% / X 23.6% / Melbourne Srbija 28.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.6%
1
48.5%
X
23.5%
2
28.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Victoria NPL 2League table
North Sunshine Eagles
LDLLW
Melbourne Srbija
WDWWD
Best price
across 11 books
1
2.02
Unibet
X
4.00
Bet365
2
3.36
1xBet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
North Sunshine Eagles
W-D-L 3-2-5
Scored 1.10
Conceded 1.70
xG 1.83
xGA 1.86
1 -0.94
X -2.10
2 +0.73
1 (DNB) -1.10
Melbourne Srbija
W-D-L 5-2-3
Scored 1.20
Conceded 0.80
xG 1.68
xGA 1.82
1 +2.20
X -2.00
2 -1.90
1 (DNB) +1.26
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
North Sunshine Eagles
Rating 1434
xG 1.70
Win 46%
Melbourne Srbija
Rating 1526
xG 1.35
Win 31%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
VALUE
Fonbet · historical ROI
Extra value signals (not 1x2)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
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Match center
Start
13.06.2026 03:00 UTC
Match center
North Sunshine Eagles - Melbourne Srbija
Form
1/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.50
Fonbet · line only
X
1.55
Fonbet · line only
1
3.75
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
2.20
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.13
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.25
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
2.20
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.58
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.89 52.9% | |
| X | 3.84 26.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.90 25.6% |
| 3.36 29.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.65 60.6% |
| yes | 2.10 47.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 2.20 45.5% |
| 1x | 1.13 88.5% |
| x2 | 1.25 80.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.07 93.5% | |
| 7.60 13.2% | |
| 6.60 15.2% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 1.58 63.3% | |
| 7.90 12.7% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 6.50 15.4% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 2.20 45.5% |
Match center
North Sunshine Eagles
D
North Sunshine Eagles
1:1
Melburn Nayts
Melburn Nayts
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNorth Sunshine Eagles - Melbourne Srbija
North Sunshine Eagles
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form