Finland. League 1
Finland. League 1
11.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Finished

Finland. League 1

Orsha - Smorgon

Futbol
Orsha
Orsha
1 : 1
Finished
Smorgon
Smorgon

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Orsha - Smorgon 11 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 13.00 / X 1.17 / 2 6.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 7.1%
X 78.9%
2 14.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Orsha 2 : 2 Smorgon
12.75
X3.87
22.05

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Match center

Orsha - Smorgon

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.60 Fonbet · line only
X 1.17 Fonbet · line only
1 2.41 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.08 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.20 31.3% 2.60 38.5%
yes 1.30 76.9% 1.44 69.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.27 78.7% 4.40 22.7%
1x 1.33 75.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.08 92.6%
x2 1.40 71.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 2.97 33.7%
Х 2.42 41.3%
П2 2.78 36.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 1.5 2.03 49.3%
ТМ 1.5 1.70 58.8%
Match center
Orsha
W L D
04.07 11:30 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Orsha 3:1 BumpromBumprom
13.06 08:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Orsha 1:2 LidaLida
07.06 09:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Orsha 1:1 Niva DolbiznoNiva Dolbizno
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
4 Points
Smorgon
L W W D
05.07 09:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Smorgon 1:3 Volna-PinskVolna-Pinsk
14.06 10:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Smorgon 1:0 Minsk 2Minsk 2
06.06 11:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Smorgon 5:0 OsipovichiOsipovichi
31.05 10:00 UTC Belarus: First League Standings
Smorgon 4:4 LidaLida
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOrsha - Smorgon

Orsha
0 matches total
Smorgon
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history