UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg
UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg
03.07.2026 11:00 UTC 14 round
Finished

UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg

Naftan-Novopolotsk - Dynamo Brest

Futbol
Naftan-Novopolotsk
Naftan-Novopolotsk
2 : 4
Finished
Dynamo Brest
Dynamo Brest

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Naftan-Novopolotsk - Dynamo Brest July 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dynamo Brest.

Line favourite market consensus: Dynamo Brest. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.18 / X 4.24 / 2 1.40
  • 1X2 market: Naftan-Novopolotsk 12.8% / X 21.6% / Dynamo Brest 65.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 12.8%
X 21.6%
2 65.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier League
League table
Naftan-Novopolotsk
#166 ptsGP 141-3-1010:31
LLWLL
Dynamo Brest
#621 ptsGP 146-3-520:14
WDWLL
Best price across 7 books
1 7.90 Marathonbet
X 4.90 Marathonbet
2 1.37 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Naftan-Novopolotsk
W-D-L 1-2-7 Scored 0.80 Conceded 2.30 xG 0.90 xGA 1.81 Corners 2.3
Dynamo Brest
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.50 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.45 xGA 1.12 Corners 6.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Naftan-Novopolotsk
Rating 1310 xG 0.71 Win 13%
Dynamo Brest
Rating 1562 xG 1.91 Win 66%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Form and head-to-head • Vysshaya Liga

Team stats

Naftan-Novopolotsk
LDLDLLLLWL
W 1 • D 2 • L 7 (10)
Goals average:0.8 : 2.3
16 place, 6 pts
Dynamo Brest
WDWLDWLLWD
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 0.9
8 place, 18 pts
Head-to-head: 15 — Naftan-Novopolotsk 1, draws 6, Dynamo Brest 8 (goals 15:39)
  • Dinamo Brest — Naftan Novopolotsk2025-08-10 2:0
  • Naftan Novopolotsk — Dinamo Brest2025-03-30 2:2
  • Dinamo Brest — Naftan Novopolotsk2025-02-13 1:1
  • Naftan Novopolotsk — Dinamo Brest2024-09-15 3:6
  • Dinamo Brest — Naftan Novopolotsk2024-04-26 2:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Naftan-Novopolotsk
No data
Dynamo Brest
  • Брестский · 10 169 seats
  • Founded in 1960
  • Coach: Александр Сергеевич Седнёв

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

Match conditions

Match weather

Пасмурно

Temperature
22.5°
Feels like
21.7°
Wind
11.9 km/h (gusts 30.6)
Precipitation
0 mm/h
Humidity
55%
Cloud cover
100%

Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Atlant
Start 03.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Naftan-Novopolotsk - Dynamo Brest

Итоговый протокол and результаты встречи Нафтан - Dynamo-Брест, 3 июля 2026. Обзор and статистика matches, точный счет. Чемпионат Беларуси по футболу 2026, 14 round. Нафтан - Dynamo-Брест, кто победил, онлайн трансляция matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.13 Fonbet · line only
X 7.60 Fonbet · line only
1 7.28 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 4.90 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.69 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 3.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 7.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Dafabet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO William Hill
7.75 12.9% 7.00 14.3% 7.80 12.8% 7.43 13.5% 6.09 16.4% 7.00 14.3%
X 4.35 23.0% 4.30 23.3% 4.35 23.0% 4.46 22.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0%
1.41 70.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.72 58.1% 1.74 57.5%
yes 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.05 95.2%
1x 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 4.90 20.4%
x2 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
7.20 13.9%
X 2.45 40.8%
1.91 52.4%
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Naftan-Novopolotsk
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Dynamo Brest
Naftan-Novopolotsk Team comparison Dynamo Brest
13 Games 13
1 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
9 Losses 5
8 Scored 16
27 Conceded 12
6 Points 18
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
Нафтан 29 round Голы Душан Бакич 0:1 1' Владислав Ложкин 0:2 18' Владислав Ложкин 0:3 23' Kirill Adamovich 1:3 41' Ignat Pranovich 2:3 45' Егор Корцов 2:4 60' Наказания Никита Костомаров 65' Статистика Нафтан Dynamo-Брест 0 Warnings 0 1 Sendoffs 0
. Прогноз: Милевский, Кисляк and Хачериди получат отпор «Рух» — «Dynamo-Брест»
. Прогноз: Милевский, Кисляк and Кривец провалят дерби БАТЭ — «Dynamo-Брест». Прогноз and ставка на статистику в финале Кубка Беларуси «Dynamo-Брест» — БАТЭ. Прогноз and ставка на статистику в матче чемпионата Беларуси «Энергетик»

Нафтан Dynamo-Брест 13 Игры 13 1 Победы 5 3 Ничьи 3 9 Поражения 5 8 Забито 16 27 Пропущено 12 6 Очки 18 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 0 Удары по воротам 0 0 Удары в створ 0 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 0 Угловые 0 0 Оффсайды 0 0 Фолы 0 0 % владения мячом 0 0 Warnings 0 0 Sendoffs 0.08 Следующий match 21.11.2026 Belarus — Высшая лига Dynamo-Брест –:– Нафтан 29 round Голы Душан Бакич 0:1 1' Владислав Ложкин 0:2 18' Владислав Ложкин 0:3 23' Kirill Adamovich 1:3 41' Ignat Pranovich 2:3 45' Егор Корцов 2:4 60' Наказания Никита Костомаров 65' Статистика Нафтан Dynamo-Брест 0 Warnings 0 1 Sendoffs 0 Результаты голосования Исход в основное время 14% 20% 66% Double chance 17% 40% 43% Материалы по прогнозам «Смолевичи» — «Dynamo-Брест». Прогноз: Милевский, Кисляк and Хачериди получат отпор «Рух» — «Dynamo-Брест». Прогноз: Милевский, Кисляк and Кривец провалят дерби БАТЭ — «Dynamo-Брест». Прогноз and ставка на статистику в финале Кубка Беларуси «Dynamo-Брест» — БАТЭ. Прогноз and ставка на статистику в матче чемпионата Беларуси «Энергетик» — «Dynamo-Брест». Прогноз: Милевский and Яхшибоев обеспечат голы в обе стороны «Dynamo-Брест» — «Dynamo Минск». Прогноз на статистику в матче