Match center
Start
04.07.2026 11:00 UTC
04.07.2026 11:00 UTC
14 round
Finished
UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg
Vitebsk - Dnepr Mogilev
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Vitebsk - Dnepr Mogilev July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vitebsk.
Line favourite market consensus: Vitebsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.13 / X 3.17 / 2 3.20
- 1X2 market: Vitebsk 42.7% / X 28.8% / Dnepr Mogilev 28.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.7%
1
42.8%
X
28.7%
2
28.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Vysshaya Liga
Team stats
Vitebsk
WDDLDLLWLD
W 2 • D 4 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1 : 1.3
11 place, 14 pts
Dnepr Mogilev
DLDLDLDLLW
W 1 • D 4 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:0.9 : 1.7
13 place, 11 pts
Head-to-head: 15 — Vitebsk 9, draws 2, Dnepr Mogilev 4 (goals 25:17)
- Dnepr Mogilev — FC Vitebsk2026-02-28 2:4
- Dnepr Mogilev — FC Vitebsk2025-07-12 0:1
- FC Vitebsk — Dnepr Mogilev2024-11-08 2:1
- FC Vitebsk — Dnepr Mogilev2024-07-20 2:0
- Dnepr Mogilev — FC Vitebsk2024-06-23 1:2
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Clubs and venues
Team reference
Vitebsk
- TsSK «Vitebskiy» · 8 144 seats
- Founded in 1960
- Coach: Gurenko, Sergey Vitalevich
Dnepr Mogilev
No data
Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Vitebsk
No recent matches
Dnepr Mogilev
Well rested- Rest days: 6
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Match center
Vitebsk - Dnepr Mogilev
Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Vitebsk - Dnepr M, 4 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Belarusi po futbolu 2026, 14 round. Vitebsk - Dnepr M, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
yes
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.80
Fonbet · line only
X
1.37
Fonbet · line only
1
4.90
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
2.85
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.10
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.16
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
2.00
Fonbet · line only
2 0
2.20
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.73
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.17
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.66
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.05
Fonbet · line only
Yes
7.10
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Dafabet | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SBO | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.19 45.7% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.15 46.5% | 1.99 50.3% | 2.15 46.5% | |
| X | 3.28 30.5% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.28 30.5% | 3.32 30.1% | 2.93 34.1% | 3.00 33.3% |
| 3.26 30.7% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.26 30.7% | 3.21 31.2% | 3.06 32.7% | 3.10 32.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.05 95.2% | 1.83 54.6% |
| yes | 7.10 14.1% | 1.87 53.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.29 77.5% | 2.85 35.1% |
| 1x | 1.29 77.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.10 90.9% |
| x2 | 1.66 60.2% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.16 86.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.95 33.9% | |
| X | 2.06 48.5% |
| 4.07 24.6% |
Match center
Vitebsk
W
L
Vitebsk
2:1
ML Vitebsk
ML Vitebsk
Vitebsk
2:3
Baranovichi
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Dnepr Mogilev
L
D
Dnepr Mogilev
0:1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Dnepr Mogilev
1:1
BATE
BATE
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
0.5
Scored
1.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyVitebsk - Dnepr Mogilev
Vitebsk
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Vitebsk
Team 2
Dnepr Mogilev
Vitebsk
Team comparison
Dnepr Mogilev
13
Games
13
3
Wins
2
5
Draws
5
5
Losses
6
12
Scored
11
16
Conceded
19
14
Points
11
0
Attacks
0
0
Dangerous attacks
0
0
Big chances
0
0
Shots on goal
0
0
Shots on target
0
Vitebsk Dnepr M 13 Games 13 3 Wins 2 5 Draws 5 Losses 6 12 Scored 11 16 Conceded 19 14 Points 11 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0.08 Sleduyuschiy match 21.11.2026 Belarus — Premier League Dnepr M –:– Vitebsk 29 round Goly Kirill Rodionov 1:0 80' Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 59% 26% 15% Double chance 43% 36% 21% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1305662' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');