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Brazil. Catarinense. Division 2

21.07.2026 21:00 UTC

Finished

Brazil. Catarinense. Division 2

Hercilio Luz - Karavadzho

Football

Hercilio Luz

- : -

Finished

Karavadzho

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hercilio Luz - Karavadzho July 21, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Hercilio Luz. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / X 3.48 / 2 5.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 55.7%

X 26.6%

2 17.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.07.2026 21:00 UTC

Match center

Hercilio Luz - Karavadzho

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.07 market consensus · line only

X 3.43 market consensus · line only

1 1.64 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 1.12 market consensus · line only

X2 2.05 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 +1 1.65 market consensus · line only

1 -1 2.09 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.23 81.3%	1.27 78.7%
1x	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%
x2	2.00 50.0%	2.10 47.6%

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	2.10 47.6%	2.13 47.0%	2.04 49.0%
	1.65 60.6%	1.64 61.0%	1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
Over 2.5	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%
Under 2.5	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	1.66 60.2%	1.65 60.6%	1.62 61.7%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.48 28.7%
	5.00 20.0%	5.00 20.0%	5.20 19.2%

Match center

Hercilio Luz

W W W W W

19.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: Catarinense 2 Standings

Hercilio Luz 2:0 Tubarao

15.07 20:30 UTC Brazil: Catarinense 2 Standings

Hercilio Luz 1:0 Gremio Yuventus

12.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Catarinense 2 Standings

Hercilio Luz 2:0 Blyumenau

04.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Catarinense 2 Standings

Hercilio Luz 2:1 Guarani de Palosa

14.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Catarinense 2 Standings

Hercilio Luz 2:0 Jaragua-SC

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.2 Conceded

15 Points

Karavadzho

D W W L W

18.07 18:00 UTC Brazil: Catarinense 2 Standings

Karavadzho 2:2 Nacao

15.07 20:00 UTC Brazil: Catarinense 2 Standings

Karavadzho 2:1 Tubarao

12.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Catarinense 2 Standings

Karavadzho 9:0 Jaragua-SC

05.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: Catarinense 2 Standings

Karavadzho 1:2 Metropolitano

14.06 17:00 UTC Brazil: Catarinense 2 Standings

Karavadzho 1:0 Fluminense-SC

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

3.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyHercilio Luz - Karavadzho

Hercilio Luz

1 matches total

Karavadzho

Hercilio Luz: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Karavadzho: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 31.05 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (31.05 17:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

31.05 17:30 UTC Brazil: Catarinense 2 Standings

Ersiliu Luzh

2:2

Karavadzho