Match center
Start
04.07.2026 20:00 UTC
04.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil: Copa FGF - Playoff
Quilmes - Santa Kruz RS
1
:
0
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🔒 «Formula lock»
1Quilmes — 55%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Quilmes - Santa Kruz RS 4 июля 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Quilmes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.59 / X 3.41 / 2 5.80
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.5%
1
57.5%
X
26.8%
2
15.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Copa FGF - Semi Finals
Team stats
Quilmes
DWDWLDDWDD
W 3 • D 6 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 0.8
1 place, 15 pts
Santa Kruz RS
WDWWDWDDDD
W 4 • D 6 • L 0 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 0.9
2 place, 10 pts
Head-to-head: 2 — Quilmes 1, draws 1, Santa Kruz RS 0 (goals 3:1)
- Santa Cruz RS — Brasil Pelotas (RS)2026-06-27 1:1
- Brasil Pelotas (RS) — Santa Cruz RS2024-02-04 2:0
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Statistics
Totals and BTTS trends
| Quilmes | Santa Kruz RS | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 33% | — |
| Average total | 2 | — |
| Both teams to score (BTTS) | 50% | — |
| Matches counted | 6 | — |
% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.
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Match center
Quilmes - Santa Kruz RS
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.77
market consensus · line only
X
3.40
market consensus · line only
1
1.58
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.25
market consensus · line only
1X
1.09
market consensus · line only
X2
2.17
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1
1.70
market consensus · line only
1 -1
2.03
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.14
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.62
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.62
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.16
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.62 61.7% |
| yes | 2.16 46.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.27 78.7% |
| 1x | 1.07 93.5% | 1.10 90.9% |
| x2 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.23 44.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.18 45.9% |
| Х | 1.98 50.5% |
| П2 | 6.80 14.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 1 | 2.12 47.2% |
| ТМ 1 | 1.64 61.0% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyQuilmes - Santa Kruz RS
Quilmes
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals