Match center
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18.07.2026 11:00 UTC
18.07.2026 11:00 UTC
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Brazil: Paulista B - Playoff
Independente SP - Paulinense
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P
Paulinense
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Independente SP - Paulinense July 18, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Paulinense. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.79 / X 3.02 / 2 2.44
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.9%
1
32.6%
X
30.1%
2
37.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Independente SP - Paulinense
Form
0/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.42
market consensus · line only
X
3.01
market consensus · line only
1
2.77
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0
1.75
market consensus · line only
1 0
2.00
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.81
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.90
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.81 55.3% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.53 28.3% | |
| X | 2.00 50.0% |
| 3.07 32.6% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.00 50.0% |
| Under 1 | 1.73 57.8% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.75 57.1% |
Match center
Paulinense
L
W
Paulinense
0:1
Independente SP
Independente SP
Paulinense
2:0
San Karlos
San Karlos
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyIndependente SP - Paulinense
Independente SP
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals