Match center
Start
11.07.2026 16:00 UTC
11.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil: Paulista B - Playoff
Uniao Mogi - Itaqua
1
:
4
Finished
I
Itaqua
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Uniao Mogi - Itaqua 11 июля 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Itaqua. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 11.50 / X 5.60 / 2 1.03
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 23.6%
1
7.0%
X
14.4%
2
78.5%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Uniao Mogi
1
:
2
Itaqua
15.58
X3.72
21.53
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Uniao Mogi - Itaqua
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.03
Fonbet · line only
X
5.60
Fonbet · line only
1
5.20
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.11
Fonbet · line only
1X
9.00
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.92
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.04
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
1.75
market consensus · line only
1 0
7.90
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.09
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
5.70
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.33
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.95
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.33 75.2% |
| yes | 2.95 33.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 2.10 47.6% | 9.00 11.1% |
| x2 | 1.07 93.5% | 1.03 97.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| П1 +1 | 1.75 57.1% | — |
| П1 +1.5 | — | 9.00 11.1% |
| П1 +2.5 | — | 3.85 26.0% |
| П1 +3.5 | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| П1 +4.5 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| П1 +5.5 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| П1 -1.5 | — | 10.50 9.5% |
| П1 0 | 2.70 37.0% | 7.90 12.7% |
| П2 +1.5 | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| П2 +2.5 | — | 1.20 83.3% |
| П2 +3.5 | — | 8.00 12.5% |
| П2 +4.5 | — | 12.00 8.3% |
| П2 +5.5 | — | 11.50 8.7% |
| П2 -1 | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| П2 -1.5 | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| П2 0 | 1.39 71.9% | 1.04 96.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 0.5 | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| ТБ 1.5 | — | 1.05 95.2% |
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.09 91.7% |
| ТБ 3.5 | — | 1.78 56.2% |
| ТБ 4.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 5.5 | — | 6.10 16.4% |
| ТБ 6.5 | — | 8.50 11.8% |
| ТБ 7.5 | — | 11.50 8.7% |
| ТМ 0.5 | — | 8.00 12.5% |
| ТМ 1.5 | — | 6.90 14.5% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 5.70 17.5% |
| ТМ 3.5 | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| ТМ 4.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТМ 5.5 | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| ТМ 6.5 | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| ТМ 7.5 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
Match center
Uniao Mogi
W
Uniao Mogi
3:0
Maua
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Itaqua
W
Itaqua
3:0
Paulinia FU
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyUniao Mogi - Itaqua
Uniao Mogi
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals