Brazil. U20. Mineiro
Brazil. U20. Mineiro
13.06.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Mineiro

Minas Boca U20 - Sao Joao del Rei U20

Futbol
M
Minas Boca U20
2 : 4
Finished
S
Sao Joao del Rei U20

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Minas Boca U20 - Sao Joao del Rei U20 June 13, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sao Joao del Rei U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.10 / X 10.50 / 2 1.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 38.9%
1 23.2%
X 6.9%
2 69.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Paulista - U20
League table
Minas Boca U20
#13 ptsGP 11-0-03:0
W
Sao Joao del Rei U20
#110 ptsGP 10-0-10:1
L
Best price across 9 books
1 2.47 Superbet
X 3.40 Bet365
2 3.20 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Minas Boca U20
W-D-L 5-0-5 Scored 1.18 Conceded 1.05 xG 1.57 xGA 0.93
1 +0.76 X -1.00 2 -1.00 1 (DNB) +0.32
Sao Joao del Rei U20
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.06 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.66 xGA 1.15
1 -3.72 X -4.00 2 +2.48 1 (DNB) -2.48

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Minas Boca U20
Rating 1675
Sao Joao del Rei U20
Rating 1561

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 13.06.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Minas Boca U20 - Sao Joao del Rei U20

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X 3.38 market consensus · line only
1 2.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 7.70 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1 0 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.01 99.0%
1x 7.70 13.0%
x2 1.01 99.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.40 29.4%
9.00 11.1%
1.20 83.3%
1.02 98.0%
4.80 20.8%
3.80 26.3%
3.30 30.3%
1.27 78.7%
1.03 97.1%
4.05 24.7%
10.50 9.5%
1.15 87.0%
1.22 82.0%
1.28 78.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bettery Fonbet Leon
Over 2.5 1.97 50.8% 2.05 48.8% 1.57 63.7% 1.35 74.1% 1.96 51.0%
Over 3.5 1.19 84.0%
Over 4.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 5.5 4.60 21.7%
Over 6.5 13.00 7.7%
Under 2.5 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.95 33.9% 1.72 58.1%
Under 3.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 4.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 5.5 1.16 86.2%
Under 6.5 1.01 99.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 1.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 2.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 3.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 4.5 3.40 29.4%
Under 0.5 2.75 36.4%
Under 1.5 2.75 36.4%
Under 2.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 3.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 4.5 1.27 78.7%
Match center
Minas Boca U20
L
05.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Mineiro U20 Standings
Minas Boca U20 1:2 Koimbra U20
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Sao Joao del Rei U20
D
07.06 11:00 UTC Brazil: Mineiro U20 Standings
Sao Joao del Rei U20 1:1 Betim U20Betim U20
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points