Brazil: Maranhense 2 - Playoff
Brazil: Maranhense 2 - Playoff
12.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Maranhense 2 - Playoff

Expressinho - Lago Verde

Futbol
Expressinho
Expressinho
- : -
Finished
Lago Verde
Lago Verde

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Expressinho - Lago Verde 12 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lago Verde. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 13.00 / X 14.00 / 2 1.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 7.1%
X 6.6%
2 86.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Maranhense - 2
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Expressinho
W-D-L 2-0-8 Scored 0.77 Conceded 2.62 xG 0.73 xGA 2.81
Lago Verde
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 2.78 Conceded 0.79 xG 2.14 xGA 0.76

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Expressinho 1 : 5 Lago Verde
17.31
X4.25
21.37

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Expressinho - Lago Verde

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X 4.26 market consensus · line only
1 6.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 6.80 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.70 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 8.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.05 95.2% 1.87 53.5%
yes 8.00 12.5% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.01 99.0%
1x 6.80 14.7%
x2 1.05 95.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 6.80 14.7%
Х 2.30 43.5%
П2 1.89 52.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 0.5 1.26 79.4%
ТБ 1 1.64 61.0%
ТМ 0.5 3.50 28.6%
ТМ 1 2.12 47.2%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyExpressinho - Lago Verde

Expressinho
0 matches total
Lago Verde
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history