Brazil: Paulista B - Playoff
Brazil: Paulista B - Playoff
11.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Paulista B - Playoff

Matonense - Flamengo SP

Futbol
M
Matonense
0 : 1
Finished
F
Flamengo SP

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Matonense - Flamengo SP July 11, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Flamengo SP. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.10 / X 4.20 / 2 1.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 50.4%
1 21.4%
X 15.8%
2 62.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Matonense 3 : 1 Flamengo SP
13.05
X3.04
22.25

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Matonense - Flamengo SP

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
X 4.20 Fonbet · line only
1 3.09 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.16 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.90 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.16 86.2%
1x 1.50 66.7% 1.60 62.5% 5.90 17.0%
x2 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.01 99.0%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.22 82.0%
1.02 98.0%
7.60 13.2%
2.23 44.8% 2.25 44.4% 13.00 7.7%
3.85 26.0%
11.00 9.1%
1.05 95.2%
1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.01 99.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.23 81.3%
Over 1.5 12.50 8.0%
Over 2.5 2.23 44.8% 2.25 44.4% 11.00 9.1%
Over 3.5 6.90 14.5%
Under 0.5 3.70 27.0%
Under 1.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 2.5 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.02 98.0%
Under 3.5 1.07 93.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 1.5 4.10 24.4%
Under 0.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 1.5 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Matonense
D
04.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista B - Playoff
Matonense 0:0 Assisense
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Flamengo SP
W
04.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista B - Playoff
Flamengo SP 2:1 Odeks-SP
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMatonense - Flamengo SP

Matonense
0 matches total
Flamengo SP
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history