China. Cup. Round of 16
China. Cup. Round of 16
04.07.2026 09:35 UTC
Finished

China. Cup. Round of 16

Dalian Yingbo - Ukhan Fri Tauns

Futbol
D
Dalian Yingbo
3 : 2
Finished
Ukhan Fri Tauns
Ukhan Fri Tauns
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Dalian Yingbo54%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dalian Yingbo - Ukhan Fri Tauns July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dalian Yingbo.

Line favourite market consensus: Dalian Yingbo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / X 3.77 / 2 4.53
  • 1X2 market: Dalian Yingbo 54.8% / X 24.7% / Ukhan Fri Tauns 20.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 54.9%
X 24.6%
2 20.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Super League
League table
Dalian Yingbo
#325 ptsGP 178-1-825:31
WLLWD
Ukhan Fri Tauns
#168 ptsGP 172-7-824:34
LLDDD
Best price across 13 books
1 1.74 Dafabet
X 4.04 1xBet
2 4.85 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Dalian Yingbo
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.80 xG 1.41 xGA 1.35 Corners 7.0
Ukhan Fri Tauns
W-D-L 1-6-3 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.90 xG 1.19 xGA 1.83 Corners 4.1

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Dalian Yingbo
Rating 1545 xG 1.67 Win 55%
Ukhan Fri Tauns
Rating 1496 xG 0.94 Win 21%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Form and head-to-head • Super League

Team stats

Dalian Yingbo
WLWLLLDWLL
W 3 • D 1 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:1 : 1.8
4 place, 22 pts
Ukhan Fri Tauns
LDLDDDDDDL
W 0 • D 7 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 1.9
15 place, 8 pts
Head-to-head: 3 — Dalian Yingbo 0, draws 2, Ukhan Fri Tauns 1 (goals 3:6)
  • Wuhan Three Towns — Dalian Yingbo2026-03-13 4:1
  • Dalian Yingbo — Wuhan Three Towns2025-10-19 0:0
  • Wuhan Three Towns — Dalian Yingbo2025-05-11 2:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Dalian Yingbo
  • Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium (Далянь) · 63 667 seats
  • Founded in 2021
Ukhan Fri Tauns
No data

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 09:35 UTC
Match center

Dalian Yingbo - Ukhan Fri Tauns

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.55 market consensus · line only
X 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 4.70 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.90 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 4.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.67 59.9% 1.71 58.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.65 60.6%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.96 25.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.75 26.7%
4.55 22.0% 4.74 21.1% 4.75 21.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 4.80 20.8% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.15 87.0% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0% 3.30 30.3%
1x 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5% 1.05 95.2%
x2 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2% 1.18 84.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.12 47.2%
X 2.47 40.5%
4.89 20.5%
Match center
Dalian Yingbo
L
31.05 09:00 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Dalian Yingbo 0:1 Tyantszin Tayger
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Ukhan Fri Tauns
D
31.05 09:35 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Ukhan Fri Tauns 1:1 Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points