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CONMEBOL Libertadores World

Group A. 4 round 08.05.2026 00:30 UTC

08.05.2026 00:30 UTC Group A. 4 round

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CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente Medellin - Flamengo

World Football

Independiente Medellin

- : -

Not started

Flamengo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Independiente Medellin - Flamengo May 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Flamengo.

Line favourite market consensus: Flamengo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.23 / X 3.33 / 2 1.88
1X2 market: Independiente Medellin 22.2% / X 28.1% / Flamengo 49.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 54.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9%

1 22.1%

X 28.1%

2 49.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%

Over 2.5 45.7%

Under 2.5 54.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X

Agreement 3/5

Confidence 71.9%

Total Over 2.5

Score 1:2

Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.

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Match center

Start 08.05.2026 00:30 UTC

Match center

Independiente Medellin - Flamengo

Football, Independente Medelin - Flamengo, 8 maya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Independente Medelin - Flamengo, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group A. 4 round.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.87 Fonbet · line only

X 3.20 Fonbet · line only

1 4.60 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

X2 1.20 market consensus · line only

12 1.28 market consensus · line only

1X 1.92 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.59 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.82 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	4.50 22.2%	4.32 23.2%	4.00 25.0%	4.00 25.0%	4.65 21.5%	4.40 22.7%
X	3.25 30.8%	3.44 29.1%	3.20 31.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.30 30.3%
	1.86 53.8%	1.92 52.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.83 54.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.88 53.2%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.88 53.2%	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.88 53.2%	1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.20 83.3%	1.23 81.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.23 81.3%	1.20 83.3%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.32 75.8%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.29 77.5%
home_draw	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.98 50.5%	2.00 50.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.07 93.5%	1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0	—	1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25	—	1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5	1.36 73.5%	1.31 76.3%
Over 1.75	—	1.41 70.9%
Over 2.0	—	1.53 65.4%
Over 2.25	—	1.87 53.5%
Over 2.5	1.93 51.8%	—
Over 3.5	3.75 26.7%	—
Over 4.5	7.50 13.3%	—
Under 0.5	8.00 12.5%	—
Under 1.5	3.10 32.3%	—
Under 2.5	1.85 54.1%	—
Under 3.5	1.25 80.0%	—
Under 4.5	1.08 92.6%	—

Match center

Independiente Medellin

W L D W D

01.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente Medellin 1:0 Cusco

17.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente Medellin 1:4 Flamengo

09.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente Medellin 1:1 Estudiantes L.P.

13.03 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente Medellin 2:1 Juventud

06.03 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente Medellin 1:1 Juventud

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

8 Points

Flamengo

D W W W D

30.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo 1:1 Estudiantes L.P.

17.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo 4:1 Independiente Medellin

09.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo 2:0 Cusco

29.11 21:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo 1:0 Palmeiras

30.10 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo 0:0 Racing Club

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.6 Scored

0.4 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyIndependiente Medellin - Flamengo

Independiente Medellin

1 matches total

Flamengo

Independiente Medellin: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Flamengo: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Flamengo 1:4 (17.04 00:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 17.04 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 1

Match history

17.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente Medellin

1:4

Flamengo

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Independiente Medellin

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Flamengo

7 Games 3

3 Wins 2

3 Draws 1

1 Losses 0

8 Scored 7

8 Conceded 2

12 Points 7

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

3.67 Shots on target 8.33

Sootnoshenie statisticheskikh dannykh komand Independente Medelin Flamengo 7 Games 3 Wins 2 3 Draws 1 Losses 0 8 Scored 7 8 Conceded 2 12 Points 7 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 3.67 Udary v stvor 8.33 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5 Uglovye 4.33 0.67 Offsaydy 2 12.67 Foly 6 54 % vla

Independente Medelin Flamengo 7 Games 3 Wins 2 3 Draws 1 Losses 0 8 Scored 7 8 Conceded 2 12 Points 7 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 3.67 Udary v stvor 8.33 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5 Uglovye 4.33 0.67 Offsaydy 2 12.67 Foly 6 54 % vladeniya myachom 50 1.14 Warnings 0.67 0 Sendoffs 0