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Ecuador. Premier League
Ecuador. Premier League
12.07.2026 21:10 UTC Match prediction
12.07.2026 21:10 UTC
Finished

Ecuador. Premier League

Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil

Futbol
Emelec
Emelec
0 : 0
Finished
Barcelona Guayaquil
Barcelona Guayaquil

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil 12 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona Guayaquil.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona Guayaquil. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.89 / X 2.87 / 2 2.51
  • 1X2 market: Emelec 31.7% / X 31.9% / Barcelona Guayaquil 36.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 31.7%
X 31.9%
2 36.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Pro
League table
Emelec
#1221 ptsGP 186-6-614:17
DDWWD
Barcelona Guayaquil
#330 ptsGP 188-6-420:13
DWLWW
Best price across 14 books
1 3.24 Pinnacle
X 3.00 Superbet
2 3.10 Superbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Emelec
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 0.80 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.23 xGA 1.08 Corners 5.0
Barcelona Guayaquil
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.43 xGA 0.99 Corners 5.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Emelec
Rating 1515 xG 1.04 Win 33%
Barcelona Guayaquil
Rating 1600 xG 1.12 Win 37%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Emelec 1 : 1 Barcelona Guayaquil
13.11
X2.90
22.48

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.07.2026 22:23 UTC
1 35% ✓ favourite
X 32%
2 33%
Score1:1 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 Bet:Главной и наиболее взвешенной ставкой на этот матч является Двойной шанс: Эмелек не проиграет (1X).
ChatGPT updated11.07.2026 22:49 UTC
1 35% ✓ favourite
X 32%
2 33%
Bet:1
Claude updated11.07.2026 22:20 UTC
1 35% ✓ favourite
X 32%
2 33%
Bet:1
Qwen updated11.07.2026 22:46 UTC
1 35% ✓ favourite
X 32%
2 33%
Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 35% 32% 33% 1:1 ТМ 2.5 — Главной и наиболее взвешенной ставкой на этот матч является Двойной шанс: Эмелек не проиграет (1X).
ChatGPT 35% 32% 33% — — — 1
Claude 35% 32% 33% — — — 1
Qwen 35% 32% 33% — — — 1

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 21:10 UTC
Match center

Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.51 market consensus · line only
X 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 2.91 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 6.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 3.00 33.3% 3.02 33.1% 3.20 31.3% 3.00 33.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.70 37.0%
Х 3.05 32.8% 2.92 34.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.63 38.0%
П2 2.45 40.8% 2.52 39.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.01 99.0% 1.64 61.0%
yes 11.50 8.7% 2.12 47.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 6.10 16.4%
1x 1.43 69.9% 1.48 67.6% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5% 1.01 99.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 6.50 15.4%
0_1 5.25 19.1%
0_2 8.50 11.8%
0_3 21.00 4.8%
0_4 56.00 1.8%
1_0 5.75 17.4%
1_1 5.00 20.0%
1_2 8.50 11.8%
1_3 19.00 5.3%
1_4 56.00 1.8%
2_0 11.00 9.1%
2_1 9.50 10.5%
2_2 15.00 6.7%
2_3 34.00 2.9%
2_4 81.00 1.2%
3_0 29.00 3.5%
3_1 26.00 3.9%
3_2 41.00 2.4%
Match center
Emelec
D W
05.07 20:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Emelec 1:1 DelfinDelfin
31.05 21:10 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Emelec 1:0 Universidad Katolika KitoUniversidad Katolika Kito
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Barcelona Guayaquil
W L
04.07 22:00 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Barcelona Guayaquil 2:0 Deportivo KuenkaDeportivo Kuenka
01.06 22:30 UTC Ecuador: Liga Pro Standings
Barcelona Guayaquil 0:1 Tekniko Yu.Tekniko Yu.
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
3 Points