Match center
Start
03.07.2026 22:00 UTC
03.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished
Ecuador. Premier League
Independiente del Valle - Manta
4
:
0
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🔒 «Formula lock»
1Independiente del Valle — 75%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Independiente del Valle - Manta 3 июля 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Independiente del Valle.
Line favourite market consensus: Independiente del Valle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.19 / X 5.71 / 2 12.62
- 1X2 market: Independiente del Valle 76.5% / X 16.1% / Manta 7.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.5%
1
76.8%
X
16.0%
2
7.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga ProLeague table
Independiente del Valle
WWLWW
Manta
LWLDL
Best price
across 13 books
1
1.22
Unibet
X
7.30
Pinnacle
2
17.84
Pinnacle
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Independiente del Valle
W-D-L 8-0-2
Scored 2.10
Conceded 1.20
xG 1.75
xGA 0.91
Corners 7.4
Manta
W-D-L 2-2-6
Scored 0.50
Conceded 1.30
xG 0.96
xGA 1.38
Corners 5.9
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Independiente del Valle
Rating 1686
xG 2.21
Win 73%
Manta
Rating 1423
xG 0.67
Win 10%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Form and head-to-head • Liga Pro
Team stats
Independiente del Valle
WWLWWWWLWW
W 8 • D 0 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:2.4 : 1.2
1 place, 37 pts
Manta
LLLWDLDDLW
W 2 • D 3 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:0.5 : 1.1
16 place, 12 pts
Head-to-head: 15 — Independiente del Valle 8, draws 3, Manta 4 (goals 19:14)
- Manta — Independiente del Valle2026-03-03 0:2
- Manta — Independiente del Valle2025-08-10 0:0
- Independiente del Valle — Manta2025-04-20 2:0
- Independiente del Valle — Manta2021-10-19 1:1
- Manta — Independiente del Valle2021-05-02 2:1
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Buy the full AI analysis
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Match center
Independiente del Valle - Manta
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.00
market consensus · line only
X
7.70
Fonbet · line only
1
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.04
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
5.90
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
8.50
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.68
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.07
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.04
Fonbet · line only
Yes
8.00
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.14 87.7% |
| Х | 5.75 17.4% | 6.59 15.2% | 5.75 17.4% | 5.80 17.2% | 5.50 18.2% | 4.60 21.7% |
| П2 | 16.00 6.3% | 13.50 7.4% | 13.00 7.7% | 13.00 7.7% | 13.00 7.7% | 9.50 10.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.04 96.2% | 1.52 65.8% |
| yes | 8.00 12.5% | 2.36 42.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.05 95.2% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.04 96.2% |
| 1x | — | 1.01 99.0% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 4.40 22.7% | 4.80 20.8% | 5.90 17.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.47 68.0% |
| Х | 2.93 34.1% |
| П2 | 12.50 8.0% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyIndependiente del Valle - Manta
Independiente del Valle
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals