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Estonia: Cup
Estonia: Cup
10.06.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
10.06.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Estonia: Cup

Tartu Kalev - Payde III

Football
Tartu Kalev
Tartu Kalev
2 : 1
Finished
Payde III
Payde III

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tartu Kalev - Payde III June 10, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.50 / X 1.25 / 2 10.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 16.8%
X 73.9%
2 9.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Cup
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Tartu Kalev
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 3.69 Conceded 2.47 xG 1.08 xGA 2.73
1 -3.00 X +5.50 2 -0.69 1 (DNB) -1.00
Payde III
W-D-L 3-1-2 Scored 2.39 Conceded 2.54 xG 1.30 xGA 4.45
1 -1.00 X -1.00 2 +0.12 1 (DNB) -1.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

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Match center
Start 10.06.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Tartu Kalev - Payde III

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
X 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1 5.50 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.85 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.37 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.55 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.30 76.9%
yes 3.25 30.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 3.55 28.2%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.11 90.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
4.70 21.3%
2.95 33.9%
6.70 14.9%
1.37 73.0%
1.15 87.0%
1.35 74.1%
1.07 93.5%
2.85 35.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.5 4.70 21.3%
Over 2.5 3.55 28.2%
Over 3.5 5.80 17.2%
Over 4.5 7.60 13.2%
Over 5.5 7.70 13.0%
Under 0.5 4.60 21.7%
Under 1.5 1.15 87.0%
Under 2.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 3.5 1.10 90.9%
Under 4.5 1.06 94.3%
Under 5.5 1.05 95.2%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTartu Kalev - Payde III

Tartu Kalev
0 matches total
Payde III
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history