Match center
Start
13.07.2026 14:00 UTC
13.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished
Estonia. League 2
Maardu - Tartu Velko
1
:
8
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Maardu - Tartu Velko 13 июля 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tartu Velko.
Line favourite market consensus: Tartu Velko. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.87 / X 4.25 / 2 1.62
- 1X2 market: Maardu 23.3% / X 21.2% / Tartu Velko 55.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.1%
1
23.3%
X
21.2%
2
55.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Esiliiga ALeague table
Maardu
WDWWL
Tartu Velko
DWWWW
Best price
across 12 books
1
5.00
Betfair
X
4.80
Dafabet
2
1.60
Unibet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Maardu
W-D-L 5-2-3
Scored 1.61
Conceded 1.80
xG 1.70
xGA 2.23
Tartu Velko
W-D-L 7-2-1
Scored 2.61
Conceded 1.20
xG 2.65
xGA 1.33
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Maardu
Rating 1540
xG 0.95
Win 16%
Tartu Velko
Rating 1733
xG 2.12
Win 64%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Maardu
2
:
2
Tartu Velko
14.11
X4.45
21.58
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Maardu - Tartu Velko
Form
3/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
X
8.50
Fonbet · line only
1
3.92
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.05
Fonbet · line only
1X
2.20
market consensus · line only
X2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.82
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.02
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
1.87
market consensus · line only
1 0
10.00
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.09
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
5.70
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
3.20
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.28
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 3.75 26.7% | 3.94 25.4% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.65 27.4% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% |
| Х | 4.33 23.1% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.33 23.1% |
| П2 | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 3.20 31.3% | 2.86 35.0% |
| yes | 1.28 78.1% | 1.37 73.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.11 90.1% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.05 95.2% |
| 1x | 2.10 47.6% | 2.30 43.5% | 11.00 9.1% |
| x2 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 0_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_4 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 0_5 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_6 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 1_0 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 1_1 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_2 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_3 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_4 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_5 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_6 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 1_7 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 2_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
Match center
Maardu
W
D
L
Maardu
3:2
Flora U21
Flora U21
Maardu
3:3
Tallinna Kalev
Maardu
3:4
Elva
Elva
1
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
4
Points
Tartu Velko
D
W
Tartu Velko
2:2
Viymsi
Viymsi
Tartu Velko
2:0
Elva
Elva
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMaardu - Tartu Velko
Maardu
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals