Estonia. Superleague

18 round 04.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

04.07.2026 14:00 UTC 18 round

Finished

Estonia. Superleague

Paide Linnameeskond - Parnu Vaprus

Futbol

Paide Linnameeskond

3 : 1

Finished

Parnu Vaprus

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Paide Linnameeskond — 61%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paide Linnameeskond - Parnu Vaprus July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paide Linnameeskond.

Line favourite market consensus: Paide Linnameeskond. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.12 / 2 5.65
1X2 market: Paide Linnameeskond 62.2% / X 21.8% / Parnu Vaprus 15.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.4%

1 62.3%

X 21.8%

2 15.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Meistriliiga

Team stats

Paide Linnameeskond

WWLLLDDWWD

W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)

Goals average:1.3 : 1.5

4 place, 29 pts

Parnu Vaprus

WLLWWLWDLW

W 5 • D 1 • L 4 (10)

Goals average:1.4 : 1.6

6 place, 23 pts

Head-to-head: 15 — Paide Linnameeskond 9, draws 2, Parnu Vaprus 4 (goals 23:11)

Paide Linnameeskond — Pärnu JK Vaprus2026-05-06 2:0
Pärnu JK Vaprus — Paide Linnameeskond2026-03-07 3:2
Paide Linnameeskond — Pärnu JK Vaprus2025-11-02 3:0
Pärnu JK Vaprus — Paide Linnameeskond2025-08-30 1:0
Pärnu JK Vaprus — Paide Linnameeskond2025-06-18 1:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center

Start 04.07.2026 14:00 UTC

Match center

Paide Linnameeskond - Parnu Vaprus

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Payde - Vaprus, 4 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Estonii po futbolu (Meytriliga) 2026, 18 round. Payde - Vaprus, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.70 market consensus · line only

X 6.00 Fonbet · line only

1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.10 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only

X2 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 3.15 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 2.01 market consensus · line only

2 0 9.50 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 3.00 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.09 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.48 67.6%	1.42 70.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.44 69.4%	1.36 73.5%
X	4.00 25.0%	4.30 23.3%	4.10 24.4%	3.95 25.3%	4.20 23.8%	3.75 26.7%
	5.80 17.2%	6.16 16.2%	5.75 17.4%	5.20 19.2%	5.50 18.2%	5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.09 47.9%
yes	1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.12 89.3%	1.15 87.0%	1.10 90.9%
1x	1.07 93.5%	1.08 92.6%	1.03 97.1%
x2	2.63 38.0%	2.75 36.4%	9.00 11.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.87 53.5%
X	2.48 40.3%
	5.80 17.2%

Match center

Paide Linnameeskond

D D

14.06 09:30 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Paide Linnameeskond 1:1 Kalyu

31.05 12:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Paide Linnameeskond 1:1 Kuressaare

0 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

2 Points

Parnu Vaprus

W D

26.06 15:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Parnu Vaprus 1:0 Kuressaare

13.06 12:00 UTC Estonia: Premier League Standings

Parnu Vaprus 0:0 Tammeka

1 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

0.5 Scored

0.0 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPaide Linnameeskond - Parnu Vaprus

Paide Linnameeskond

0 matches total

Parnu Vaprus

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Paide Linnameeskond

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Parnu Vaprus

18 Games 17

8 Wins 7

5 Draws 2

5 Losses 8

27 Scored 21

22 Conceded 31

29 Points 23

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

Vaprus 22 round Goly Abdourahman Badamosi 1:0 15' Matthias Limberg 1 24' Daniel Luts 2:1 43' Viktor Ugo 3:1 47'

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Payde Vaprus 18 Games 17 8 Wins 7 5 Draws 2 5 Losses 8 27 Scored 21 22 Conceded 31 29 Points 23 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0.28 Warnings 0.12 0.22 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 08.08.2026 Estonia — Meystriliga Payde –:– Vaprus 22 round Goly Abdourahman Badamosi 1:0 15' Matthias Limberg 1 24' Daniel Luts 2:1 43' Viktor Ugo 3:1 47' Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Vladimir Vasilev Glavnye trenery Igor Prins Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 45% 28% 27% Double chance 37% 35% 28% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1300728' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');