Estonia. Superleague
Estonia. Superleague
11.07.2026 09:30 UTC 19-й тур
Finished

Estonia. Superleague

Parnu Vaprus - Tammeka

Futbol
Parnu Vaprus
Parnu Vaprus
5 : 1
Finished
Tammeka
Tammeka

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parnu Vaprus - Tammeka 11 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tammeka.

Line favourite market consensus: Tammeka. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.62 / X 3.35 / 2 2.31
  • 1X2 market: Parnu Vaprus 34.4% / X 26.8% / Tammeka 38.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.3%
1 34.3%
X 26.8%
2 38.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Meistriliiga
League table
Parnu Vaprus
#526 ptsGP 198-2-927:35
WLWLD
Tammeka
#626 ptsGP 188-2-821:26
LWWWD
Best price across 13 books
1 2.70 Dafabet
X 3.50 10Bet
2 2.47 Superbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Parnu Vaprus
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.70 xG 1.23 xGA 1.94
Tammeka
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.10 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.44 xGA 1.85

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Parnu Vaprus
Rating 1490 xG 1.09 Win 30%
Tammeka
Rating 1514 xG 1.37 Win 43%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Parnu Vaprus 2 : 1 Tammeka
12.59
X3.30
22.38

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated12.07.2026 23:28 UTC
1 34%
X 27%
2 39% ✓ favourite
Score0:0 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 Bet:Таммека» набрала отличный ход и не проигрывает три матча подряд, в то время как «Пярну Вапрус» чередует успешные игры с провалами.
AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 34% 27% 39% 0:0 ТМ 2.5 Таммека» набрала отличный ход и не проигрывает три матча подряд, в то время как «Пярну Вапрус» чередует успешные игры с провалами.

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 09:30 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Tammeka 39%
💹 Market Tammeka 3886%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Parnu Vaprus - Tammeka

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Вапрус - Таммека, 11 июля 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Эстонии по футболу (Мейтрилига) 2026, 19-й тур. Вапрус - Таммека, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 5:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.31 market consensus · line only
X 3.35 market consensus · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.71 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
П1 2.64 37.9% 2.70 37.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.70 37.0%
Х 3.34 29.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.13 32.0% 3.45 29.0%
П2 2.31 43.3% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.30 43.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.45 40.8% 2.38 42.0%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.24 80.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.02 98.0%
1x 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5% 9.50 10.5%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 12.50 8.0%
0_1 8.50 11.8%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 11.00 9.1%
0_3 19.00 5.3%
0_4 46.00 2.2%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 8.50 11.8%
1_1 6.00 16.7%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 7.00 14.3%
1_3 13.00 7.7%
1_4 31.00 3.2%
1_5 100.00 1.0%
Match center
Parnu Vaprus
L W D
04.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: VyUSAya liga Standings
Parnu Vaprus 1:3 PaydePayde
26.06 15:00 UTC Estonia: VyUSAya liga Standings
Parnu Vaprus 1:0 KuressaareKuressaare
13.06 12:00 UTC Estonia: VyUSAya liga Standings
Parnu Vaprus 0:0 TammekaTammeka
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Tammeka
W D
05.07 14:00 UTC Estonia: VyUSAya liga Standings
Tammeka 2:1 Harju JK LaagriHarju JK Laagri
13.06 12:00 UTC Estonia: VyUSAya liga Standings
Tammeka 0:0 Pyarnu VaprusPyarnu Vaprus
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParnu Vaprus - Tammeka

Parnu Vaprus
1 matches total
Tammeka
Parnu Vaprus: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Tammeka: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (13.06 12:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

13.06 12:00 UTC Estonia: VyUSAya liga Standings
Pyarnu Vaprus
0:0
Tammeka
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Parnu Vaprus
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Tammeka
Parnu Vaprus Team comparison Tammeka
18 Игры 17
7 Победы 8
2 Ничьи 2
9 Поражения 7
22 Забито 20
34 Пропущено 21
23 Очки 26
0 Атаки 0
0 Опасные атаки 0
0 Голевые моменты 0
0 Удары по воротам 0
0 Удары в створ 0
Вапрус 36-й тур Голы Matthias Limberg 1:0 19' Matthias Limberg 2:0 28' Павел Марин 2:1 40' Matthias Limberg 3:1 44' Rasmus Orm 4:1 74' Rasmus Orm 5:1 87'
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Вапрус Таммека 18 Игры 17 7 Победы 8 2 Ничьи 2 9 Поражения 7 22 Забито 20 34 Пропущено 21 23 Очки 26 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 0 Удары по воротам 0 0 Удары в створ 0 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 0 Угловые 0 0 Оффсайды 0 0 Фолы 0 0 % владения мячом 0 0.11 Предупреждения 0.65 0 Удаления 0.12 Следующий матч 07.11.2026 Эстония — Мейстрилига Таммека –:– Вапрус 36-й тур Голы Matthias Limberg 1:0 19' Matthias Limberg 2:0 28' Павел Марин 2:1 40' Matthias Limberg 3:1 44' Rasmus Orm 4:1 74' Rasmus Orm 5:1 87' Главные тренеры Главные тренеры Игорь Принс Главные тренеры Карел Воолайд Результаты голосования Исход в основное время 14% 29% 57% Двойной шанс 22% 35% 43% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1300720' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');