Finland. Superleague

Veykkausliiga. 1 round 04.07.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction

04.07.2026 12:00 UTC Veykkausliiga. 1 round

Finished

Finland. Superleague

Jaro - Ilves

Futbol

Jaro

2 : 1

Finished

Ilves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jaro - Ilves July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Jaro. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.11 / X 7.70 / 2 1.92

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 55.2%

1 58.1%

X 8.4%

2 33.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Veikkausliiga

Team stats

Jaro

LLLLWLLLDL

W 1 • D 1 • L 8 (10)

Goals average:1.2 : 3.1

11 place, 8 pts

Ilves

LWWLWWWLDL

W 5 • D 1 • L 4 (10)

Goals average:2.1 : 1.8

8 place, 16 pts

Head-to-head: 8 — Jaro 2, draws 0, Ilves 6 (goals 9:18)

Ilves — FF Jaro2026-06-17 5:0
Ilves — FF Jaro2026-01-31 4:2
FF Jaro — Ilves2025-07-20 0:1
Ilves — FF Jaro2025-04-12 2:1
Ilves — FF Jaro2025-02-22 4:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Jaro

Well rested

Rest days: 7
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Ilves

Normal schedule

Rest days: 3
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center

Start 04.07.2026 12:00 UTC

Match center

Jaro - Ilves

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Yaro - Ilves, 4 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Finlyandii po futbolu 2026, Veykkausliiga. 1 round. Yaro - Ilves, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 2/0 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.90 market consensus · line only

X 7.70 Fonbet · line only

1 1.11 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.04 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only

X2 5.30 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 8.50 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.47 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.03 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.46 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.65 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Yes 3.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.25 80.0%	2.40 41.7%
yes	3.35 29.9%	1.51 66.2%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.21 82.6%	1.22 82.0%	1.04 96.2%
1x	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.01 99.0%
x2	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	5.30 18.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	4.13 24.2%
X	2.42 41.3%
	2.41 41.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.26 44.3%
Under 1.5	1.59 62.9%

Match center

Jaro

L L

13.06 12:00 UTC Finland: Premier League Standings

Jaro 2:5 KhIK

31.05 11:00 UTC Finland: Premier League Standings

Jaro 1:2 Oulu

0 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.5 Scored

3.5 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyJaro - Ilves

Jaro

0 matches total

Ilves

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Jaro

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Ilves

14 Games 14

1 Wins 4

5 Draws 4

8 Losses 6

13 Scored 24

31 Conceded 27

8 Points 16

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

12 Shots on goal 9.7

3.57 Shots on target 4.14

grell Fabian Oestigaard Ness 1:0 27' Rudi Vikstrem Herman Sjögrell 2:0 38' Yiandro Raap Stanislav Baranov 2:1 87' Nakazaniya Yiandro Raap 79' Ville Kumpu 88' Herman Sjögrell 90' Adam Videskog 90+5'

Yaro Ilves 14 Games 14 1 Wins 4 5 Draws 4 8 Losses 6 13 Scored 24 31 Conceded 27 8 Points 16 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 12 Shots on goal 9.7 3.57 Udary v stvor 4.14 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.21 Uglovye 3.64 1 Offsaydy 1.29 9.79 Foly 9.79 41.21 % vladeniya myachom 48.64 1.5 Warnings 1.57 0.07 Sendoffs 0.07 Goly Herman Sjögrell Fabian Oestigaard Ness 1:0 27' Rudi Vikstrem Herman Sjögrell 2:0 38' Yiandro Raap Stanislav Baranov 2:1 87' Nakazaniya Yiandro Raap 79' Ville Kumpu 88' Herman Sjögrell 90' Adam Videskog 90+5'