Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
13.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

HNK Gorica - Goztepe

Futbol
HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica
0 : 2
Finished
Goztepe
Goztepe

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction HNK Gorica - Goztepe 13 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Goztepe.

Line favourite market consensus: Goztepe. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.98 / X 3.47 / 2 2.05
  • 1X2 market: HNK Gorica 30.3% / X 25.9% / Goztepe 43.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.2%
1 30.2%
X 25.9%
2 43.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 13 books
1 3.82 1xBet
X 4.00 Bet365
2 1.88 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
HNK Gorica
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 1.98 Conceded 0.83 xG 1.61 xGA 1.19
Goztepe
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.52 Conceded 1.45 xG 1.32 xGA 1.42 Corners 3.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
HNK Gorica
Rating 1746
Goztepe
Rating 1635

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

HNK Gorica 2 : 1 Goztepe
13.55
X3.44
21.89

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

HNK Gorica - Goztepe

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X 3.48 market consensus · line only
1 3.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 9.00 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.42 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 7.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 6.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Yes 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 2.90 34.5% 3.16 31.7% 2.75 36.4% 3.00 33.3% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3%
Х 3.45 29.0% 3.44 29.1% 3.60 27.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%
П2 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.03 97.1% 2.69 37.2%
yes 8.50 11.8% 1.43 69.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.78 56.2% 1.90 52.6% 9.00 11.1%
x2 1.16 86.2% 1.22 82.0% 1.03 97.1%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 12.00 8.3%
0_1 9.00 11.1%
0_2 11.00 9.1%
0_3 17.00 5.9%
0_4 34.00 2.9%
0_5 81.00 1.2%
1_0 11.00 9.1%
1_1 6.50 15.4%
1_2 7.50 13.3%
1_3 12.00 8.3%
1_4 26.00 3.9%
1_5 61.00 1.6%
2_0 15.00 6.7%
2_1 9.00 11.1%
2_2 10.00 10.0%
2_3 15.00 6.7%
2_4 31.00 3.2%
2_5 71.00 1.4%
Match center
HNK Gorica
W
04.07 13:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
HNK Gorica 2:1 Zarya 🇺🇦Zarya 🇺🇦
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHNK Gorica - Goztepe

HNK Gorica
0 matches total
Goztepe
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history