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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 22:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Atletiko Moreliya (Mek) - Krus Asul (Mek)

Futbol
A
Atletiko Moreliya (Mek)
3 : 3
Finished
K
Krus Asul (Mek)
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

2Krus Asul (Mek) — 58%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletiko Moreliya (Mek) - Krus Asul (Mek) July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Krus Asul (Mek).

Line favourite market consensus: Krus Asul (Mek). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.27 / X 4.04 / 2 1.54
  • 1X2 market: Atletiko Moreliya (Mek) 17.5% / X 22.8% / Krus Asul (Mek) 59.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7%
1 17.5%
X 22.8%
2 59.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Club Friendlies

Team stats

Atletiko Moreliya (Mek)
WLWLWLDLLW
W 4 • D 1 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:1 : 1.2
Krus Asul (Mek)
DDDWWWDWDW
W 5 • D 5 • L 0 (10)
Goals average:1.7 : 1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Match center

Atletiko Moreliya (Mek) - Krus Asul (Mek)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.20 Fonbet · line only
X 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 7.90 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.15 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.53 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
5.49 18.2% 5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6% 5.00 20.0% 5.40 18.5% 5.60 17.9%
X 4.10 24.4% 3.90 25.6% 3.85 26.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.10 24.4% 4.10 24.4%
1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.57 63.7% 1.54 64.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.25 80.0% 1.99 50.3%
yes 3.40 29.4% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 3.10 32.3%
1x 2.36 42.4% 1.15 87.0%
x2 1.13 88.5% 1.08 92.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.90 17.0%
X 2.29 43.7%
2.02 49.5%