Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Ostrovets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± - Charni Polyanets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±

Futbol
O
Ostrovets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
1 : 1
Finished
C
Charni Polyanets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ostrovets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± - Charni Polyanets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± July 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ostrovets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±.

Line favourite market consensus: Ostrovets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 4.88 / 2 5.74
  • 1X2 market: Ostrovets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 65.7% / X 18.5% / Charni Polyanets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 15.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.9%
1 65.8%
X 18.5%
2 15.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 10 books
1 1.42 Pinnacle
X 5.40 Pinnacle
2 6.50 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data β€” for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)
Ostrovets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
Rating 1537
Charni Polyanets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
Rating 1581

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β€” for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction β€’ nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Ostrovets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 2 : 1 Charni Polyanets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
11.34
X5.15
26.16

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Ostrovets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± - Charni Polyanets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet Β· line only
X 5.40 Fonbet Β· line only
1 1.06 Fonbet Β· line only
Double chance
12 1.11 Fonbet Β· line only
1X 6.40 Fonbet Β· line only
X2 7.70 Fonbet Β· line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.10 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +1 7.20 Fonbet Β· line only
2 0 1.20 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -1 1.65 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.44 market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 1.73 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
1.33 75.2% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.32 75.8%
X 5.25 19.1% 5.00 20.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.40 22.7% 4.80 20.8% 5.25 19.1%
6.27 16.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.70 17.5% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 6.05 16.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.00 50.0% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.07 93.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.12 89.3% 1.18 84.8% 6.40 15.6%
x2 2.30 43.5% 2.50 40.0% 7.70 13.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 17.00 5.9%
0_1 19.00 5.3%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_11 100.00 1.0%
0_2 36.00 2.8%
0_3 80.00 1.3%
0_4 100.00 1.0%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 8.50 11.8%
1_1 8.00 12.5%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 15.00 6.7%
1_3 50.00 2.0%
1_4 100.00 1.0%
Match center
Ostrovets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
W
01.07 07:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Ostrovets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 6:0 Star Starachowice πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
6.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Charni Polyanets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
W
04.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Charni Polyanets πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 2:0 Star Starachowice πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points