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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Salzburg - Gurnik Zabzhe 🇵🇱

Futbol
Salzburg
Salzburg
2 : 1
Finished
G
Gurnik Zabzhe 🇵🇱

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Salzburg - Gurnik Zabzhe 🇵🇱 July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Salzburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / X 6.50 / 2 3.46

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 38.6%
1 68.1%
X 11.1%
2 20.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Salzburg - Gurnik Zabzhe 🇵🇱

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.19 market consensus · line only
X 6.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.64 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.10 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.49 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.13 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.80 55.6% 2.78 36.0%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.41 70.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.08 92.6% 1.16 86.2% 1.07 93.5%
1x 1.22 82.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.73 57.8% 1.90 52.6% 6.80 14.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.23 44.8%
X 2.59 38.6%
3.76 26.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.58 63.3%
Over 1.5 1.94 51.6%
Under 1 2.24 44.6%
Under 1.5 1.77 56.5%
Match center
Salzburg
W
26.06 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Salzburg 5:0 Sikirkhen 🇦🇹
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points