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Latvia: Cup Latvii
Latvia: Cup Latvii
11.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction
11.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Latvia: Cup Latvii

Riga Mariners - BFC Daugavpils

Futbol
R
Riga Mariners
3 : 3
Finished
BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Riga Mariners - BFC Daugavpils 11 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Riga Mariners. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.20 / X 4.30 / 2 1.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 59.2%
1 52.3%
X 14.6%
2 33.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Riga Mariners 4 : 1 BFC Daugavpils
13.70
X4.15
21.70

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Riga Mariners - BFC Daugavpils

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.83 market consensus · line only
X 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.17 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 3.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.05 Fonbet · line only
2 0 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 6.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.10 47.6% 2.19 45.7%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5%
1x 1.80 55.6% 1.03 97.1%
x2 1.30 76.9% 3.80 26.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 3.93 25.5%
Х 2.51 39.8%
П2 2.18 45.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 1 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 1.5 2.36 42.4%
ТМ 1 2.37 42.2%
ТМ 1.5 1.52 65.8%