Match center
Start
22.08.2026 15:00 UTC
22.08.2026 15:00 UTC
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Ligue 1
Marseille - Strasbourg
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Marseille - Strasbourg 22 августа 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / X 4.40 / 2 4.70
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.6%
1
57.9%
X
21.7%
2
20.3%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Marseille - Strasbourg
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
3
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.70
Fonbet · line only
X
4.40
Fonbet · line only
1
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.23
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.20
Fonbet · line only
X2
2.25
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.80
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
6.50
Fonbet · line only
2 0
3.40
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
2.03
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.65
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.50
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.50
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.50 40.0% |
| yes | 1.50 66.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% |
| 1x | 1.20 83.3% |
| x2 | 2.25 44.4% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 +1 | 1.07 93.5% |
| П1 +1.5 | 1.05 95.2% |
| П1 -1 | 2.03 49.3% |
| П1 -1.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| П1 -2 | 3.70 27.0% |
| П1 -2.5 | 4.30 23.3% |
| П1 0 | 1.27 78.7% |
| П2 +1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| П2 +1.5 | 7.50 13.3% |
| П2 -1 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| П2 -2 | 1.23 81.3% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.17 85.5% |
| П2 0 | 3.40 29.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 0.5 | 1.06 94.3% |
| ТБ 1 | 1.02 98.0% |
| ТБ 1.5 | 1.11 90.1% |
| ТБ 2 | 1.16 86.2% |
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| ТБ 3 | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 3.5 | 2.08 48.1% |
| ТБ 4 | 2.65 37.7% |
| ТБ 4.5 | 3.15 31.8% |
| ТБ 5 | 5.00 20.0% |
| ТБ 5.5 | 5.60 17.9% |
| ТМ 0.5 | 6.90 14.5% |
| ТМ 1 | 10.50 9.5% |
| ТМ 1.5 | 5.10 19.6% |
| ТМ 2 | 4.40 22.7% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.65 37.7% |
| ТМ 3 | 2.17 46.1% |
| ТМ 3.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
Match center
Marseille
W
W
L
D
L
17.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
3:1
Rennes
Rennes
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
1:0
Le Havre
Le Havre
02.05 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
0:3
Nantes
Nantes
26.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
1:1
Nice
Nice
18.04 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
0:2
Lorient
Lorient
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
7
Points
Strasbourg
W
W
D
L
W
17.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
5:4
Monaco
Monaco
13.05 17:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
2:1
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
1:1
Angers
Angers
03.05 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
1:2
Toulouse
Toulouse
26.04 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
3:2
Lorient
Lorient
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.4
Scored
2.0
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Strasbourg
Marseille
3
matches total
Marseille: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Strasbourg: 1 (33.4%)
Biggest win
Marseille 2:1 (26.09 18:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (2:2, 14.02 16:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
2:2 (14.02 16:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
14.02 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Marseille
2:2
Strasbourg
26.09 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Marseille
2:1
Strasbourg
29.09 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Marseille
0:1
Strasbourg