Match center
Start
22.08.2026 15:00 UTC
22.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Not started
Ligue 1
Toulouse - Lyon
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:
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Toulouse - Lyon 22 августа 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.45 / X 3.85 / 2 2.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
27.6%
X
24.7%
2
47.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Toulouse - Lyon
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
3
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.00
Fonbet · line only
X
3.85
Fonbet · line only
1
3.45
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.30
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.80
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.33
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.10
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
2.65
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.50
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
5.40
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.73
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.20
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.63
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.20 45.5% |
| yes | 1.63 61.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.80 55.6% |
| x2 | 1.33 75.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 +1 | 1.40 71.4% |
| П1 +1.5 | 1.28 78.1% |
| П1 +2 | 1.07 93.5% |
| П1 +2.5 | 1.05 95.2% |
| П1 -1 | 5.40 18.5% |
| П1 -1.5 | 6.10 16.4% |
| П1 0 | 2.55 39.2% |
| П2 +1 | 2.65 37.7% |
| П2 +1.5 | 3.35 29.9% |
| П2 +2 | 6.10 16.4% |
| П2 +2.5 | 7.00 14.3% |
| П2 -1 | 1.10 90.9% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.08 92.6% |
| П2 0 | 1.50 66.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 0.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
| ТБ 1 | 1.04 96.2% |
| ТБ 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% |
| ТБ 2 | 1.30 76.9% |
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.73 57.8% |
| ТБ 3 | 2.15 46.5% |
| ТБ 3.5 | 2.65 37.7% |
| ТБ 4 | 4.20 23.8% |
| ТБ 4.5 | 4.70 21.3% |
| ТМ 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% |
| ТМ 1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| ТМ 1.5 | 4.20 23.8% |
| ТМ 2 | 3.20 31.3% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| ТМ 3 | 1.67 59.9% |
| ТМ 3.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| ТМ 4 | 1.20 83.3% |
| ТМ 4.5 | 1.14 87.7% |
Match center
Toulouse
W
W
D
L
L
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:1
Lion
Lion
03.05 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:1
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
25.04 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:2
Monaco
Monaco
17.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:3
Lens
Lens
12.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
0:4
Lille
Lille
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
2.2
Conceded
7
Points
Lyon
L
L
W
W
W
17.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
0:4
Lens
Lens
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
1:2
Toulouse
Toulouse
03.05 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
4:2
Rennes
Rennes
25.04 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
3:2
Auxerre
Auxerre
19.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
2:1
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
2.2
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyToulouse - Lyon
Toulouse
3
matches total
Toulouse: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lyon: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win
Toulouse 2:1 (10.05 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 10.05 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:1
Lion
05.10 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:1
Lion
29.09 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Toulouse
1:2
Lion