Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg
Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg
10.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Paulista. Serie B. Quarter-finals. Second leg

Resistentsiya - Deportivo Karapega

Futbol
R
Resistentsiya
1 : 1
Finished
D
Deportivo Karapega

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Resistentsiya - Deportivo Karapega July 10, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.90 / X 1.20 / 2 4.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 26.5%
1 16.1%
X 65.9%
2 18.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Resistentsiya 1 : 1 Deportivo Karapega
11.73
X3.54
24.18

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Resistentsiya - Deportivo Karapega

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.29 market consensus · line only
X 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 4.90 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.75 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.40 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.19 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.85 54.1% 1.94 51.6%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.24 80.7% 1.29 77.5% 3.75 26.7%
1x 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.86 53.8% 1.94 51.6% 1.14 87.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.28 43.9%
X 2.16 46.3%
4.78 20.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 1 1.79 55.9%
Under 0.5 2.74 36.5%
Under 1 1.91 52.4%
Match center
Resistentsiya
L L
05.07 16:00 UTC Paraguay: Division Intermedia Standings
Resistentsiya 2:3 12 de Junio
04.06 19:30 UTC Paraguay: Division Intermedia Standings
Resistentsiya 0:3 Deportivo Santani
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Deportivo Karapega
D L D
05.07 16:00 UTC Paraguay: Division Intermedia Standings
Deportivo Karapega 1:1 Sol de Amerika
06.06 11:00 UTC Paraguay: Division Intermedia Standings
Deportivo Karapega 0:2 Independente FBKIndependente FBK
31.05 11:00 UTC Paraguay: Division Intermedia Standings
Deportivo Karapega 2:2 TakuariTakuari
0 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.7 Conceded
2 Points