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Peru. Premier League
Peru. Premier League
11.07.2026 18:30 UTC Match prediction
11.07.2026 18:30 UTC
Finished

Peru. Premier League

Sporting Kristall - Tacna Heroica

Futbol
S
Sporting Kristall
1 : 1
Finished
T
Tacna Heroica

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sporting Kristall - Tacna Heroica July 11, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.30 / X 1.25 / 2 7.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 17.3%
1 19.8%
X 68.2%
2 12.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Sporting Kristall 1 : 1 Tacna Heroica
11.29
X5.05
27.60

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 18:30 UTC
Match center

Sporting Kristall - Tacna Heroica

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.87 market consensus · line only
X 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.45 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.19 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 4.15 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.23 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.60 27.8% 2.01 49.8%
yes 1.23 81.3% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 3.45 29.0%
1x 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.02 98.0%
x2 2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7% 1.19 84.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.73 57.8%
X 2.64 37.9%
6.50 15.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.11 47.4%
Under 1.5 1.65 60.6%