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Peru. Women. Liga Nacional. Final. Second Leg
Peru. Women. Liga Nacional. Final. Second Leg
04.07.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

Peru. Women. Liga Nacional. Final. Second Leg

Universitario Lima (w) - Alyansa Lima (Zh)

Futbol
U
Universitario Lima (w)
3 : 0
Finished
Alyansa Lima (Zh)
Alyansa Lima (Zh)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Universitario Lima (w) - Alyansa Lima (Zh) July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Universitario Lima (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 3.87 / 2 4.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 56.0%
X 23.9%
2 20.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Women League - Semi Finals

Team stats

Universitario Lima (w)
WWWWWWDWWL
W 8 • D 1 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:3.9 : 0.5
1 place, 28 pts
Alyansa Lima (Zh)
WWWLDLWDWW
W 6 • D 2 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:2.1 : 0.8
4 place, 20 pts
Head-to-head: 15 — Universitario Lima (w) 4, draws 5, Alyansa Lima (Zh) 6 (goals 13:17)
  • Alianza Lima (W) — Universitario Deportes (W)2026-06-27 1:0
  • Alianza Lima (W) — Universitario Deportes (W)2026-05-17 1:3
  • Universitario Deportes (W) — Alianza Lima (W)2025-12-13 2:2
  • Alianza Lima (W) — Universitario Deportes (W)2025-12-07 3:1
  • Alianza Lima (W) — Universitario Deportes (W)2025-11-15 1:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Universitario Lima (w)
No recent matches
Alyansa Lima (Zh)
Well rested
  • Rest days: 7
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Match center

Universitario Lima (w) - Alyansa Lima (Zh)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.37 market consensus · line only
X 3.76 market consensus · line only
1 1.61 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
X2 2.02 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.75 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.35 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.00 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.07 48.3%
yes 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.15 87.0% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.10 90.9% 1.18 84.8%
x2 1.94 51.6% 2.10 47.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.10 47.6%
X 2.31 43.3%
4.94 20.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.61 62.1%
Under 1 2.18 45.9%